Oued Lahdar 流域(摩洛哥上伊纳瓦内河)洪水风险的水文研究和水力模拟

Hamid Fattasse, Jaouad Gartet, Marouane Laaraj, Mohamed Makhchane, Kamal Lahrichi, Abdelmonaim Okacha
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摘要

拉赫达尔河的洪水多次淹没道路基础设施,并对其造成破坏,尤其是 Had Msila 领土中心的过境结构。我们的研究包括采用各种方法估算拉赫达尔河沿岸不同重现期的洪水流量。在对所使用的不同方法计算出的数值进行比较分析后,选择了选定的流量。这些结果是水力模型的基础,旨在评估水位以绘制风险区域图。这一步骤在洪水风险评估中至关重要。主要有两种方法:基于降雨数据得出的区域参数的水文气象方法,以及在缺乏特定区域洪水流量数据或数据有限的情况下使用的经验方法。水力模型的建立使用了两种软件:一种是地理信息系统(GIS)(如 Arc-GIS),另一种是专门的河流模型软件(如 Hec-Ras),后者能够以数字形式表示领土的自然状态。所获得的结果可作为所有河流水力模型的基础,从而促进洪泛区的洪水预测和水文风险管理。对所研究河段的拉赫达尔河洪水进行建模,可以预测洪水风险及其对 Had Msila 中心的建筑和基础设施的影响。
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Hydrological Study and Hydraulic Modeling of Flood Risk in the Watershed of the Oued Lahdar (Upper Inaouene, Morocco)
The floods of the Lahdar River cause repeated inundations and damage to road infrastructures, particularly crossing structures in the territorial center of Had Msila. Our study involved the application of various methods to estimate flood flows for different return periods along the Lahdar River. The selected flows were chosen after a comparative analysis of values calculated by the different methods used. These results served as the basis for hydraulic modeling aimed at assessing water levels to establish risk zone mapping. This step is crucial in flood risk assessment. Two main approaches were distinguished: hydrometeorological methods, based on regional parameters derived from rainfall data, and empirical methods, used in the absence or with limited data on flood flows in a given region. Hydraulic modeling was carried out using two software programs: a Geographic Information System (GIS) such as Arc-GIS, and a specific river modeling software like Hec-Ras, allowing for the numerical representation of the natural state of the territory. The results obtained serve as the foundation for all river hydraulic modeling, thereby facilitating flood prediction and hydrological risk management in floodplains. Modeling Lahdar River floods in the studied sections enables the prediction of flood risk and its impacts on constructions and infrastructure in the Had Msila Center.
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