区域一体化对 PM2.5 浓度的影响--来自城市经济协调委员会的准自然实验证据

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Growth and Change Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI:10.1111/grow.12732
Sijia Li, Lihua Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在追求生态文明建设和高质量发展的今天,探讨区域一体化(RI)与城市群内PM2.5污染之间的因果关系具有重要意义。本研究利用2003-2016年中国285个地级市的面板数据,将长三角城市经济协调会扩容作为区域一体化的准自然实验,采用差分法探讨区域一体化对PM2.5浓度的影响及内在机制。在对长三角城市群 PM2.5 浓度的时空变化趋势进行描述性分析后,实证结果表明,RI 整体上有助于缓解 4.8%的 PM2.5 浓度。对原有城市而言,PM2.5浓度的降低效果为5.2%,而对新城市而言,RI则加剧了当地PM2.5浓度的2.1%。一系列稳健性测试证实了基线结果的正确性,并进一步表明,从长期来看,区域一体化的影响仍然显著,并从第三年开始增加。此外,在规模较大、经济较发达、市场化程度较高的城市,区域一体化对 PM2.5 浓度的降低效果更为明显。机理分析表明,产业转移、人口迁移和技术创新是区域一体化影响 PM2.5 浓度的重要渠道。本文的结论为城市群地区缓解PM2.5污染、实现生态保护和高质量发展提供了新的路径。
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The impact of regional integration on PM2.5 concentrations—Quasi-natural experimental evidence from city economic coordination committee

It is of great significance to explore the causality between regional integration (RI) and PM2.5 pollution within urban agglomerations in the current pursuit of ecological civilization construction and high-quality development. Using panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2016, this study considers the expansion of the city economic coordination committee in Yangtze River Delta (YRDECC) as a quasi-natural experiment of RI, and use a difference-in difference method to explore the effect and inner mechanisms of RI on PM2.5 concentration. After a descriptive analysis of the spatial-temporal variation trend of the PM2.5 concentration in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, the empirical results show that RI helps to alleviate 4.8% of the PM2.5 concentration overall. For the original cities, the reduction effect on the PM2.5 concentration is 5.2%, for the new cities, however, RI exacerbates 2.1% of the local PM2.5 concentration. A series of robustness tests confirm the validity of the baseline results, and further indicate that the effect of RI remains significant in the long term and starts to increase from the third year. Furthermore, the reduction effect of RI on PM2.5 concentration is more pronounced in cities with larger scales, more developed economies, and higher degrees of marketization. The mechanism analysis shows that industrial transfer, population migration and technological innovation are significant channels of RI that affect PM2.5 concentrations. The conclusions of this paper provide a new path to alleviate PM2.5 pollution and achieve ecological conservation and high-quality development in the city cluster area.

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来源期刊
Growth and Change
Growth and Change Multiple-
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
3.10%
发文量
55
期刊介绍: Growth and Change is a broadly based forum for scholarly research on all aspects of urban and regional development and policy-making. Interdisciplinary in scope, the journal publishes both empirical and theoretical contributions from economics, geography, public finance, urban and regional planning, agricultural economics, public policy, and related fields. These include full-length research articles, Perspectives (contemporary assessments and views on significant issues in urban and regional development) as well as critical book reviews.
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