有轨电车对邻近街道车辆与车辆(以及车辆与行人)碰撞率的短期和中期影响

IF 2.4 Q3 TRANSPORTATION Case Studies on Transport Policy Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI:10.1016/j.cstp.2024.101262
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引用次数: 0

摘要

导言引入新的公共交通系统会影响周围的建筑环境,而建筑环境的变化会影响人们的出行行为。之前的研究尚未深入全面地探讨新投资的公共交通方式(尤其是有轨电车)对邻近街道上发生的机动车碰撞事故的影响,也未考虑其他相关因素。特别是,考虑到初期磨合期,有轨电车的短期和中期影响之间的差异尚未得到深入研究。本研究的重点是有轨电车对相邻街道的总碰撞率、受伤碰撞率和行人碰撞率的短期和中期影响,同时考虑交通流量、交通速度和交通冲突(公交乘客、行人数量和交通政策)。数据和方法本文使用了犹他州交通部(UDOT)的碰撞计数、年平均日交通量(AADT)、iPeMS 数据、犹他州交通局(UTA)的乘客量、谷歌街景手动计算的行人量,并对 UDOT 的专家进行了访谈。在研究方法上,我们采用了三种准实验研究设计:(1)无对照组的前后对比研究;(2)中断时间序列研究;(3)有对照组的前后对比研究。此外,为了找出造成这种影响的原因,我们从多个维度进行了研究,包括交通量、交通速度、公交乘客量、行人量以及交通政策变化的调整。结果S线有轨电车的建成最终导致邻近街道的总碰撞率(短:11%,中:-15%)、伤害碰撞率(短:-9%,中:-41%)和行人碰撞率(短:-25%,中:-43%)显著下降,尤其是在有轨电车完全建成后(3年后)。其中,受伤和涉及行人的交通事故率明显下降。此外,我们还发现,由于公交乘客数量增加(短期:43%,中期:50%)、行人数量增加(短期:35%,中期:75%)以及邻近街道交通信号的改善,驾驶员对街道的认知度和活力也有所提高,这可能是主要原因。
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Short and mid-term effect of the streetcar on vehicle-vehicle (and vehicle-pedestrian) crash rate on the adjacent street

Introduction

Introducing new public transit systems impacts the surrounding built environment, and changes in the built environment can affect travel behavior. Prior research has yet to thoroughly conduct a comprehensive exploration of the influence of new investments in public modes of transit, particularly streetcars, on motor vehicle crashes occurring on adjoining streets, considering other related factors. In particular, the difference between short-term and mid-term impacts of streetcars considering initial break-in periods has yet to be thoroughly conducted. This study focuses on the short-term and mid-term effects of the streetcar on total, injury, and pedestrian-involved vehicle crash rates on the adjacent street, considering traffic volume, traffic speeds, and traffic conflicts (transit ridership, pedestrian volume, and traffic policy).

Data & Method

This paper used the Utah Department of Transportation’s (UDOT) crash count, annual average daily traffic (AADT), iPeMS data, Utah Transit Authority’s (UTA) ridership, manually calculated pedestrian volume from Google Street View, and conducted interviews with UDOT’s experts. In the method, we used three quasi-experimental research designs: (1) before-after without a control group, (2) interrupted time series, and (3) before-after with a control group. In addition, to identify the cause of this impact, we examined multiple dimensions, including traffic volume, traffic speeds, transit ridership, pedestrian volume, and adjustments in traffic policy changes.

Results

As a result, the establishment of the S-Line streetcar eventually led to a significant decrease in total (short: 11 %, mid: −15 %), injury (short: −9%, mid: −41 %), and pedestrian-involved (short: −25 %, mid: −43 %) crash rates on the adjacent street, especially after the streetcar was fully established (3 years after). In particular, injury and pedestrian-involved crash rates decreased significantly. Also, we found that increased drivers’ awareness and vitality of the street due to the increased transit ridership (short: 43 %, mid: 50 %), increased pedestrian volume (short: 35 %, mid: 75 %), and improvement of traffic signal on the adjacent street can be the main causes.

Practical Applications

The outcomes of this study are considered to help establish short-term and mid-term traffic policies that consider public transit improvements such as streetcars.

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