Itai Arieli, Yakov Babichenko, Dimitry Shaiderman, Xianwen Shi
{"title":"边学习边说服","authors":"Itai Arieli, Yakov Babichenko, Dimitry Shaiderman, Xianwen Shi","doi":"arxiv-2407.13964","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose a dynamic product adoption persuasion model involving an impatient\npartially informed sender who gradually learns the state. In this model, the\nsender gathers information over time, and hence her posteriors' sequence forms\na discrete-time martingale. The sender commits to a dynamic revelation policy\nto persuade the agent to adopt a product. We demonstrate that under the\nassumption that the sender's martingale possesses Blackwell-preserving kernels,\nthe family of optimal strategies for the sender takes an interval form; namely,\nin every period the set of martingale realizations in which adoption occurs is\nan interval. Utilizing this, we prove that if the sender is sufficiently\nimpatient, then under a random walk martingale, the optimal policy is fully\ntransparent up to the moment of adoption; namely, the sender reveals the entire\ninformation she privately holds in every period.","PeriodicalId":501316,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - CS - Computer Science and Game Theory","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Persuading while Learning\",\"authors\":\"Itai Arieli, Yakov Babichenko, Dimitry Shaiderman, Xianwen Shi\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2407.13964\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We propose a dynamic product adoption persuasion model involving an impatient\\npartially informed sender who gradually learns the state. In this model, the\\nsender gathers information over time, and hence her posteriors' sequence forms\\na discrete-time martingale. The sender commits to a dynamic revelation policy\\nto persuade the agent to adopt a product. We demonstrate that under the\\nassumption that the sender's martingale possesses Blackwell-preserving kernels,\\nthe family of optimal strategies for the sender takes an interval form; namely,\\nin every period the set of martingale realizations in which adoption occurs is\\nan interval. Utilizing this, we prove that if the sender is sufficiently\\nimpatient, then under a random walk martingale, the optimal policy is fully\\ntransparent up to the moment of adoption; namely, the sender reveals the entire\\ninformation she privately holds in every period.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501316,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - CS - Computer Science and Game Theory\",\"volume\":\"10 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - CS - Computer Science and Game Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.13964\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - CS - Computer Science and Game Theory","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2407.13964","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
We propose a dynamic product adoption persuasion model involving an impatient
partially informed sender who gradually learns the state. In this model, the
sender gathers information over time, and hence her posteriors' sequence forms
a discrete-time martingale. The sender commits to a dynamic revelation policy
to persuade the agent to adopt a product. We demonstrate that under the
assumption that the sender's martingale possesses Blackwell-preserving kernels,
the family of optimal strategies for the sender takes an interval form; namely,
in every period the set of martingale realizations in which adoption occurs is
an interval. Utilizing this, we prove that if the sender is sufficiently
impatient, then under a random walk martingale, the optimal policy is fully
transparent up to the moment of adoption; namely, the sender reveals the entire
information she privately holds in every period.