The predictive value of monocyte-related inflammatory factors for recurrence of atrial fibrillation after cryoablation

Our objective was to investigate the predictive value of monocyte-related inflammatory factors, including monocyte to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (MHR) and monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), for the recurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after cryoablation in AF patients. The 570 patients who underwent cryoablation were divided into AF recurrence group and non-recurrence group based on follow-up results. The multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect of MHR and MLR on AF patients. The AF-free survival status of patients was tested by Kaplan-Meier method. ROC analysis was performed to assess the predictive value of MHR and MLR for post-ablation recurrence of AF. A total of 113 (19.8 %) patients relapsed, while 457 patients (80.2 %) had no AF recurrence during follow up. Patients with AF recurrence had higher MHR values (0.37 ± 0.14 vs. 0.33 ± 0.14; P = 0.004) and higher MLR values (0.49 ± 0.32 vs. 0.18 ± 0.07; P < 0.001) compared to those without AF recurrence. MHR≥0.34 combined with MLR≥0.24 (HR = 9.979, 95 % CI: 6.070–16.407, P < 0.001) was an independent factor for predicting AF recurrence after cryoablation in patients by logistic regression analysis. The ROC analysis showed that the AUC for the combination of the MHR and MLR variables was 0.974 (95 % CI: 0.962–0.985) and had the highest diagnostic sensitivity (97.4 %). Elevated baseline values of the monocyte-related inflammatory factors, MHR and MLR, have a certain predictive value for increased AF recurrence after cryoablation.