厄尔尼诺/南方涛动期间的尺度相互作用--揭示厄尔尼诺/南方涛动-季风非线性的新动力机制

IF 2.8 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Theoretical and Applied Climatology Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI:10.1007/s00704-024-05111-5
S. De, N. K. Agarwal, Jasti S. Chowdary, Darshana Patekar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

厄尔尼诺南方涛动(ENSO)是全球最大的海气相互作用现象,对全球季风有着深远的影响。在这项研究中,我们首次通过跨尺度的非线性动能(KE)交换展望来研究厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与季风的关系。印度夏季季风(ISM)和西北太平洋夏季季风(WNPSM)被认为是全球季风的两个主要组成部分,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动对其影响巨大。厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与季风的非线性关系可以通过厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜、主导高频振荡(HFO)和低频振荡(LFO)之间的尺度相互作用机制来揭示,厄尔尼诺/南方涛动与季风之间在厄尔尼诺(拉尼娜)期间的不稳定(稳定)关系。分析结果表明,与 2015-16 年在 ISM(WNPSM)地区发生的厄尔尼诺现象相比,1997-98 年厄尔尼诺现象传递到同步尺度和 10-20 天低频振荡的 KE 更多(更少)。此外,在这些区域观察到厄尔尼诺现象与 30-60 天波浪之间的能量交换相反,导致 ISM 和 WNPSM 区域的降雨量变化形成鲜明对比。在 ISM 和 WNPSM 区域,厄尔尼诺(拉尼娜)、HFO 和 LFO 之间能量交换的剧烈变化(相对较小)使得厄尔尼诺-季风关系极不稳定,而拉尼娜-季风关系则很稳定。从两次厄尔尼诺现象和两次拉尼娜现象的尺度间 KE 交换角度揭示厄尔尼诺-ISM、厄尔尼诺-WNPSM、拉尼娜-ISM 和拉尼娜-WNPSM 关系,可能有助于加深对厄尔尼诺/南方涛动-季风非线性的理解。这项工作将为进一步研究这两个大尺度系统之间的非线性空间提供一个途径,由于全球变暖和气候变化,预计这两个大尺度系统之间的非线性空间将更加复杂。
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Scale interactions during ENSO – a new dynamical mechanism on unveiling ENSO-monsoon nonlinearity

El Niño Southern Oscillations (ENSO), being the largest global air-sea interaction phenomena, has a profound effect on global monsoon. In this study, for the first time we have examined the ENSO – Monsoon relation through nonlinear kinetic energy (KE) exchanges outlook across scales. Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and Western North Pacific Summer Monsoon (WNPSM) are considered to be the two major components of global monsoon on which ENSO has a huge impact. The ENSO – Monsoon nonlinearity can be explored by unraveling the unstable (stable) relation between ENSO and Monsoon during El Niño (La Niña) period through the mechanism of scale interactions among El Niño / La Niña, dominant high (HFO) and low frequency oscillation (LFO) considering ENSO itself as a LFO of time period 12–18 months. It is found from the analysis that more (less) KE is transferred to synoptic scale and 10-20 day LFO from El Niño 1997-98 compared to that from 2015 - 16 episode over ISM (WNPSM) region. Moreover, the opposite energy exchange between El Niño and 30-60 day wave is observed over these regions, attributing to contrasting rainfall variation over ISM and WNPSM zone. Sharp (comparatively less) variability in energy exchange among El Niño (La Niña), HFO and LFO over ISM and WNPSM regions make El Niño – Monsoon relation highly unstable whereas La Niña – Monsoon relation a stable one. Unveiling El Niño-ISM, El Niño-WNPSM, La Niña-ISM and La Niña-WNPSM relations in terms of inter-scale KE exchanges for the two El Niño and two La Niña events may lead to enhance the understanding of ENSO-monsoon nonlinearity. This work will make an avenue for further research in the space of nonlinearity between the two large scale systems that may be expected to be more complex due to the global warming and climate change as a futuristic study.

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来源期刊
Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Theoretical and Applied Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
11.80%
发文量
376
审稿时长
4.3 months
期刊介绍: Theoretical and Applied Climatology covers the following topics: - climate modeling, climatic changes and climate forecasting, micro- to mesoclimate, applied meteorology as in agro- and forestmeteorology, biometeorology, building meteorology and atmospheric radiation problems as they relate to the biosphere - effects of anthropogenic and natural aerosols or gaseous trace constituents - hardware and software elements of meteorological measurements, including techniques of remote sensing
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