利用贝叶斯潜类分析法评估鼻拭子和鼻抹布检测猪甲型流感的效果。

IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Preventive veterinary medicine Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106292
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引用次数: 0

摘要

甲型流感病毒(IAV)是巴西猪群中的一种重要病原体,监测病毒循环对控制和减少传播至关重要。对 IAV 的监测计划通常基于单个仔猪的采样,因此对现有诊断工具的评估对评估猪群中 IAV 的传播情况至关重要。因此,我们比较了在巴西南部猪群中采用 RT-qPCR 检测 IAV 的两种样本采集方法:鼻拭子(NS)和鼻抹布(NW)。贝叶斯潜类模型(BLCM)适用于两种检测方法和两种人群。所使用的 NW 和 NS 的特异性(均高于 95%)高于敏感性。NW 的灵敏度低于 NS,分别为 84.14 %(70 % - 95 %;后验概率区间 (PPI):95 %)和 87.15 %(70 % - 95 %;后验概率区间 (PPI):95 %):95 %)和 87.15 %(73 % - 97 %;PPI:95 %),特异性分别为 95 %(90 % - 99 %;PPI:95 %)和 99 %(96 % - 100 %;PPI:95 %)。虽然与鼻拭子相比,擦拭样本采集的灵敏度和特异性都有所下降,但检测结果的差异非常有限,而且 PPI 基本重叠。因此,鼻拭子也可被视为一种有价值的工具。在决定是否使用这两种技术时,应权衡其性能局限性和在常规监测中的可行性。
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Evaluation of nasal swab and nasal wipe for detection of Influenza A in swine using Bayesian latent class analysis

Influenza A virus (IAV) is an important pathogen in Brazilian swine herds, and monitoring the viral circulation is essential to control and reduce the transmission. Surveillance programs for IAV are often based on individual piglets level sampling, making the evaluation of the available diagnostic tools crucial to assessing IAV circulation in herds. Thus, two sample collection methodologies were compared in pig herds in southern Brazil to detect IAV by RT-qPCR: nasal swab (NS) and nasal wipe (NW). A Bayesian latent class model (BLCM) was set for two tests and two populations. The NW and NS used are more specific (higher than 95 % for both) than sensitive. The sensitivity for NW was lower than the NS, 84.14 % (70 % – 95 %; posterior probability interval (PPI): 95 %) and 87.15 % (73 % – 97 %; PPI: 95 %), respectively, and the specificity was 95 % (90 % – 99 %; PPI: 95 %) and 99 % (96 % – 100 %; PPI: 95 %), respectively. Although the wipe sample collection loses both sensitivity and specificity compared with nasal swab, differences in test performance were very limited and PPIs largely overlapped. Therefore NW can also be considered a valuable tool. The decision about the use of both techniques should be based on the trade-off between their performance limitations and feasibility in routine monitoring.

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来源期刊
Preventive veterinary medicine
Preventive veterinary medicine 农林科学-兽医学
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
7.70%
发文量
184
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: Preventive Veterinary Medicine is one of the leading international resources for scientific reports on animal health programs and preventive veterinary medicine. The journal follows the guidelines for standardizing and strengthening the reporting of biomedical research which are available from the CONSORT, MOOSE, PRISMA, REFLECT, STARD, and STROBE statements. The journal focuses on: Epidemiology of health events relevant to domestic and wild animals; Economic impacts of epidemic and endemic animal and zoonotic diseases; Latest methods and approaches in veterinary epidemiology; Disease and infection control or eradication measures; The "One Health" concept and the relationships between veterinary medicine, human health, animal-production systems, and the environment; Development of new techniques in surveillance systems and diagnosis; Evaluation and control of diseases in animal populations.
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