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Repeatability and predictability of lying and feeding behaviours in dairy cattle 奶牛卧地和采食行为的可重复性和可预测性
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106357
Subtle changes in behaviour, which may be useful as early indicators of disease or stress in farm animals, can be detected using precision livestock technologies. However, as animals often display differences in their baseline behaviours from one another, individual variation needs to be measured and accounted for if we want to successfully detect abnormalities. In addition to consistent individual differences in their mean behaviour, which are called behavioural types and measured by repeatability, animals may differ in the amount of day-to-day variation around their own mean. This is known as predictability and it is very rarely measured in animals as it requires data with high granularity for extended periods of time, which is hard to obtain without precision technologies. Here we aim to quantify the repeatability and predictability of lying and feeding, two behaviours which have been investigated as potential indicators of disease with inconsistent results, in dairy cows. We used data on daily lying behaviours from leg-mounted sensors for 1439 cows and data on daily feeding behaviours from neck-mounted sensors for 2584 cows belonging to multiple herds to quantify the variation between individuals, the individual differences in predictability and any correlations between individual behaviour type and predictability of the same behaviour. Using multivariate double hierarchical generalised linear models, we were able to quantify individual variation in feeding and lying behaviours of adult cows for the first time. Consistent variation between individuals was present for all measures of lying and feeding with repeatability values of 0.38 for daily feeding time and 0.34 for daily lying time. Individuals also varied in their levels of predictability with coefficients of 0.46 and 0.29 for the daily lying and feeding time respectively. Lastly, there were significant positive correlations between several behaviours and the amount of residual intra-individual variation for the same behaviour (mean lying bout length: 0.93, mean feeding bout length: 0.88), indicating that cows with the longest bouts of the two behaviours were also more variable and unpredictable, perhaps due to an opportunistic strategy. These results highlight the importance of measuring individual variation in behaviour, supporting the evidence of personality traits in cattle, as well as differences in predictability, which must be taken into account in any use of behavioural indicators for early disease diagnosis.
行为上的细微变化可作为农场动物疾病或压力的早期指标,利用精准畜牧技术可以检测到这些变化。然而,由于动物之间的基本行为往往存在差异,如果我们想成功检测到异常情况,就必须测量并考虑个体差异。除了在平均行为上存在一致的个体差异(称为行为类型,用重复性来衡量)外,动物在围绕自身平均值的日变化量上也可能存在差异。这就是所谓的可预测性,在动物身上很少能测量到,因为这需要长时间高粒度的数据,而没有精密技术是很难获得这些数据的。在这里,我们旨在量化奶牛卧地和采食行为的可重复性和可预测性,这两种行为曾被研究作为疾病的潜在指标,但结果并不一致。我们利用腿部安装的传感器获得的 1439 头奶牛的日常躺卧行为数据和颈部安装的传感器获得的 2584 头奶牛的日常采食行为数据,对个体之间的差异、可预测性的个体差异以及个体行为类型与同一行为的可预测性之间的任何相关性进行了量化。利用多变量双分层广义线性模型,我们首次量化了成年奶牛采食和卧地行为的个体差异。在所有卧地和采食行为的测量中,个体间都存在一致的差异,每天采食时间的重复性为 0.38,每天卧地时间的重复性为 0.34。个体间的可预测性水平也存在差异,日卧姿和采食时间的可预测性系数分别为 0.46 和 0.29。最后,几种行为与同一种行为的个体内残余变异量之间存在明显的正相关(平均卧地时间:0.93,平均采食时间:0.88),这表明两种行为间隔时间最长的奶牛变异性和不可预测性也更高,这可能是机会主义策略所致。这些结果突出了测量个体行为差异的重要性,支持了牛的个性特征以及可预测性差异的证据,在使用行为指标进行早期疾病诊断时必须考虑到这一点。
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引用次数: 0
Serosurvey of Leptospira spp. in captive non-human primates in Spain 西班牙圈养的非人灵长类动物的钩端螺旋体血清调查
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106355
Leptospirosis is a worldwide zoonotic disease caused by serovars of Leptospira spp. that can infect a wide range of wild and domestic species, highlighting non-human primates (NHPs) as one of the most susceptible taxonomic groups. The aim of the present study was to determine the seroprevalence and potential risk factors associated with exposure to Leptospira spp. in captive NHPs in Spain. Between 2007 and 2021, sera were collected from 258 NHPs in 16 zoos and wildlife rescue centers (WRCs), and tested for antibodies to Leptospira spp. using the modified microagglutination test (MAT). Anti-Leptospira spp. antibodies were detected in 73 (28.3 %) of the 258 NHPs evaluated. Seropositivity was found in 61.0 % (25/41) of the species analyzed and in 87.5 % (14/16) of the sampled centers. Sera seropositive for six different serovars of Leptospira spp. were detected, with L. Grippotyphosa being the most prevalent. Seroprevalence was found to be significantly higher in Hominidae (61.8 %; P < 0.001) compared to other NHP families tested. To the author’s knowledge, the present study is the largest serosurvey of Leptospira spp. conducted in NHPs in Europe and also reports for the first time exposure to Leptospira spp. in nine NHP species, expanding the host range for this zoonotic bacterium. Our results indicate high and widespread seropositivity of Leptospira spp. in NHPs kept in captivity in Spain, which may be of conservation and animal health concern. This study supports the need to include captive NHPs in monitoring programs to evaluate the exposure of these species to Leptospira spp. in captive centers.
钩端螺旋体病是由钩端螺旋体的血清型引起的一种世界性人畜共患病,可感染多种野生和家养物种,非人灵长类动物(NHP)是最易感染的分类群体之一。本研究旨在确定西班牙圈养的非人灵长类动物的血清流行率以及与接触钩端螺旋体相关的潜在风险因素。2007 年至 2021 年期间,从 16 个动物园和野生动物救护中心(WRCs)的 258 只 NHPs 采集了血清,并使用改良微凝集试验(MAT)检测了钩端螺旋体抗体。在评估的 258 只 NHP 中,73 只(28.3%)检测到了抗钩端螺旋体抗体。61.0%(25/41)的分析物种和 87.5%(14/16)的采样中心都发现了血清阳性。检测到六种不同的钩端螺旋体血清阳性,其中以 L. Grippotyphosa 最为普遍。与其他接受检测的 NHP 家族相比,人科的血清阳性率明显更高(61.8%;P < 0.001)。据作者所知,本研究是欧洲对 NHP 进行的最大规模的钩端螺旋体血清调查,也首次报告了九种 NHP 接触钩端螺旋体的情况,扩大了这种人畜共患病细菌的宿主范围。我们的研究结果表明,在西班牙圈养的 NHP 中,钩端螺旋体的血清阳性率很高而且很普遍,这可能会引起保护和动物健康方面的关注。这项研究表明,有必要将圈养的NHP纳入监测计划,以评估这些物种在圈养中心接触钩端螺旋体的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Benefits and costs of measures to tackle the outbreak of African swine fever in Sweden 瑞典应对非洲猪瘟疫情措施的收益和成本。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106353
A common rule in many countries for mitigating the damage caused by African swine fever (ASF) is to eradicate the virus at the outbreak in order to prevent its dispersal and the associated social costs of depopulating infected domestic pigs. The economic performance of this practice, as measured by five different evaluation criteria (net present value, benefit-cost ratio, rate of return, internal rate of return, and payback time), depends on the type of control cost and the spatial and dynamic allocation of benefits, i.e. avoided losses from infected domestic pig farms. The present paper calculates the direct and indirect costs of immediate control measures during an ASF outbreak in wild boars in Mid Sweden. The direct costs include expenses incurred for surveillance, laboratory tests, depopulation of wild boar etc., while the indirect costs are borne by firms and people in the area in relation to movement restrictions. The calculations showed that the total cost of control measures amounted to 28 million euros, with indirect costs making up 40 % of this figure. The benefits were greatly dependent on the speed of ASF dispersal and assumptions about pig farmers’ investment responses, which implied large variations in each of the five evaluation criteria.
在许多国家,减轻非洲猪瘟(ASF)危害的一个通用规则是在疫情爆发时消灭病毒,以防止病毒扩散,并避免因消灭受感染的家猪而产生的相关社会成本。通过五种不同的评估标准(净现值、效益成本比、收益率、内部收益率和投资回收期)来衡量这种做法的经济效益,取决于控制成本的类型以及效益的空间和动态分配,即避免受感染家猪养殖场的损失。本文计算了瑞典中部野猪 ASF 爆发期间立即采取控制措施的直接和间接成本。直接成本包括监控、实验室检测、野猪绝育等费用,而间接成本则由该地区的企业和居民承担,与行动限制有关。计算显示,控制措施的总成本为 2,800 万欧元,其中间接成本占 40%。效益在很大程度上取决于 ASF 的扩散速度和养猪户的投资反应假设,这意味着五项评估标准中的每一项都存在很大差异。
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引用次数: 0
Novel characterisation of sheep flocks in Wales: A description of principal flock typologies and antimicrobial use patterns 威尔士羊群的新特征:描述主要羊群类型和抗菌药使用模式。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106352
There is increasing pressure to reduce and refine antimicrobial use (AMU) in farmed livestock, to slow the development of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and preserve the efficacy of antimicrobials (AMs) in both humans and animals. Developing strategies to help drive the prudent use of AMs requires an understanding of the direct and indirect factors influencing the between-farm variation in AMU typically observed. Given limited evidence of risk factors in sheep, this exploratory study aimed to investigate whether sheep flocks could be classified into farm types based on farm characteristics, health parameters and management practices, and whether important differences existed in AMU between these flock types. This study was conducted on 22 sheep flocks in Wales, United Kingdom as part of a wider longitudinal study on AMU and AMR. Comprehensive surveys were administered to flocks where 147 variables regarding farm characteristics, flock health parameters and management practices were captured. AMU data for each flock were also collated. A Multiple Correspondence Analysis (MCA), followed by a Hierarchical Clustering on Principal Components (HCPC) analysis, were used to classify the flocks. The top 10 dimensions yielded by MCA explained 67.4 % of the total variance. Nine partitions of relatively homogeneous flocks, derived from three typologies produced from the first three cut-points of the HCPC dendrogram, were visualised and described. These nine partitions were characterised by 70 variable categories, principally the implementation or neglect of best-practice lameness management practices. Partitions of flocks that neglected best-practice lameness managements – characterised by delayed treatments of lame sheep, footbathing and bleeding when foot trimming – reported higher lameness prevalence and fewer lame ewes recovering within five days of treatment. These flocks had higher total AMU (mg/PCU) and used a higher mass of injectable AMs than other partitions of flocks. Flock traits, lambing practices, disease challenges and other management factors also described partitions derived in later dendrogram cuts. Findings from this study confirm good AM stewardship in sheep flocks to be a complex picture, given the typologies of flocks described and the range of factors likely to influence AMU. Opportunities for targeted strategies for sustainable reductions in AMU can be directed towards specific flock types identified, specifically within the context of lameness treatment and control. We highlight the importance of understanding flock heterogeneity, through the construction of typologies, as a means to fine-tune appropriate interventions to specific flock types in order to help drive more prudent use of AMs.
为了减缓抗菌药耐药性(AMR)的发展并保持抗菌药(AMs)对人类和动物的疗效,减少和改进养殖牲畜抗菌药使用(AMU)的压力与日俱增。要制定有助于推动谨慎使用 AMs 的策略,就必须了解影响农场间 AMU 差异的直接和间接因素。鉴于有关绵羊风险因素的证据有限,本探索性研究旨在调查是否可根据农场特征、健康参数和管理方法将羊群划分为不同的农场类型,以及这些羊群类型之间的 AMU 是否存在重要差异。这项研究针对英国威尔士的 22 个羊群进行,是更广泛的 AMU 和 AMR 纵向研究的一部分。研究人员对羊群进行了全面调查,收集了有关农场特征、羊群健康参数和管理方法的 147 个变量。同时还整理了每个鸡群的AMU数据。采用多重对应分析(MCA)和主成分层次聚类分析(HCPC)对鸡群进行分类。多重对应分析得出的前 10 个维度解释了总方差的 67.4%。从 HCPC 树枝图的前三个切点产生的三种类型中得出了九个相对同质的鸡群分区,并对其进行了可视化描述。这九个分区由 70 个变量类别组成,主要是跛足管理最佳实践的实施或忽视情况。忽视最佳跛足管理方法的羊群(表现为延迟治疗跛足羊、足浴和修脚时出血),其跛足发病率较高,在治疗后五天内康复的跛足母羊较少。与其他地区的羊群相比,这些羊群的总AMU(毫克/PCU)更高,使用的注射AMs也更多。羊群性状、产羔方法、疾病挑战和其他管理因素也描述了在后期树枝图切割中得出的分区。这项研究的结果证实,鉴于所描述的羊群类型以及可能影响AMU的一系列因素,羊群中良好的AM管理是一个复杂的问题。可以针对特定的羊群类型,特别是在跛足治疗和控制方面,制定有针对性的策略,以持续减少AMU。我们强调通过构建类型来了解鸡群异质性的重要性,并以此为手段对特定鸡群类型的适当干预措施进行微调,以帮助推动更谨慎地使用AMs。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing machine learning and hemagglutinin sequences to identify likely hosts of influenza H3Nx viruses 利用机器学习和血凝素序列确定 H3Nx 流感病毒的可能宿主
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106351
Influenza is a disease that represents both a public health and agricultural risk with pandemic potential. Among the subtypes of influenza A virus, H3 influenza virus can infect many avian and mammalian species and is therefore a virus of interest to human and veterinary public health. The primary goal of this study was to train and validate classifiers for the identification of the most likely host species using the hemagglutinin gene segment of H3 viruses. A five-step process was implemented, which included training four machine learning classifiers, testing the classifiers on the validation dataset, and further exploration of the best-performing model on three additional datasets. The gradient boosting machine classifier showed the highest host-classification accuracy with a 98.0 % (95 % CI [97.01, 98.73]) correct classification rate on an independent validation dataset. The classifications were further analyzed using the predicted probability score which highlighted sequences of particular interest. These sequences were both correctly and incorrectly classified sequences that showed considerable predicted probability for multiple hosts. This showed the potential of using these classifiers for rapid sequence classification and highlighting sequences of interest. Additionally, the classifiers were tested on a separate swine dataset composed of H3N2 sequences from 1998 to 2003 from the United States of America, and a separate canine dataset composed of canine H3N2 sequences of avian origin. These two datasets were utilized to look at the applications of predicted probability and host convergence over time. Lastly, the classifiers were used on an independent dataset of environmental sequences to explore the host identification of environmental sequences. The results of these classifiers show the potential for machine learning to be used as a host identification technique for viruses of unknown origin on a species-specific level.
流感是一种具有大流行潜力的疾病,对公共卫生和农业都构成风险。在甲型流感病毒的亚型中,H3 流感病毒可感染多种禽类和哺乳动物,因此是人类和兽医公共卫生领域关注的病毒。本研究的主要目标是利用 H3 病毒的血凝素基因片段训练和验证分类器,以识别最可能的宿主物种。研究分五个步骤进行,包括训练四个机器学习分类器,在验证数据集上测试分类器,以及在另外三个数据集上进一步探索表现最佳的模型。梯度提升机器分类器的主机分类准确率最高,在独立验证数据集上的正确分类率为 98.0 % (95 % CI [97.01, 98.73])。使用预测概率分数对分类进行了进一步分析,该分数突出显示了特别感兴趣的序列。这些序列既有被正确分类的序列,也有被错误分类的序列,它们对多个宿主显示出相当高的预测概率。这显示了使用这些分类器进行快速序列分类和突出显示感兴趣序列的潜力。此外,分类器还在一个单独的猪数据集和一个单独的犬数据集上进行了测试,前者由来自美国的 1998 年至 2003 年的 H3N2 序列组成,后者由来自禽类的犬 H3N2 序列组成。利用这两个数据集来研究预测概率的应用和宿主随时间的趋同性。最后,分类器被用于一个独立的环境序列数据集,以探索环境序列的宿主识别。这些分类器的结果表明,机器学习有可能在物种特异性水平上用作未知来源病毒的宿主识别技术。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of changes in antibiotic use in grow-finish pigs after the introduction of PRRSV in a naïve farrow-to-finish system 评估在从产房到产房的新系统中引入 PRRSV 后生长后期猪抗生素使用的变化情况
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106350
Responsible antibiotic usage (ABU) is crucial for both animal and human health and requires constant improvement of antimicrobial stewardship (AMS). The presence of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV), a viral pathogen with immunosuppressive effects on swine, can intensify bacterial co-infections, alter antibiotic pharmacokinetics, and potentially lead to increased ABU. This study aimed to measure ABU changes in the grow-finish population associated with PRRSV infection and describe the antibiotic classes employed to manage clinical signs from a farrow-to-finish genetic multiplier system. Three PRRSV statuses (naïve, positive epidemic, and positive endemic) were established to classify the lots based on PRRSV circulation, with a total of 135,063 animals evaluated. The number of pig treatments per animal days at risk (PTDR) was calculated by administration route to quantify ABU across PRRSV status using negative binomial regression and non-parametric tests (P-value < 0.05). Moreover, to improve ABU comparability in the international scenario, the milligrams per population correction unit (mg/PCU) was calculated according to the European Medicines Agency guidelines. In the nursery phase, there was a statistically significant difference between PRRSV statuses for the overall PTDR (injectable and water routes of administration), with an ABU increase of 3.79 and 2.51 times the naïve PTDR for positive epidemic and endemic status, respectively. For the finishing phase, there was a statistically significant difference between PRRSV statuses in the injectable PTDR, with an ABU increase of 2.74 and 2.28 times the naïve PTDR level for positive epidemic and endemic statuses, respectively. In the nursery phase, the mean mg/PCU was 22.27 mg/PCU for naïve, 86.71 for positive epidemic, and 33.37 for positive endemic statuses; in the finishing phase, 81.31, 76.55, and 67.09 mg/PCU, respectively. The most frequently injected antibiotic in the nursery phase was ampicillin, with 49 % of total injections, followed by lincomycin (31 %) and enrofloxacin (20 %), and in the finishing phase, 72 % of injections were lincomycin, followed by enrofloxacin (28 %). The results highlight that the PRRSV outbreak in the source was associated with a grow-finish ABU increase, revealing the importance of preventing PRRSV infection to potentially decrease ABU and improve AMS within swine production systems.
负责任地使用抗生素(ABU)对动物和人类健康都至关重要,需要不断改进抗菌药物管理(AMS)。猪繁殖与呼吸综合征病毒(PRRSV)是一种对猪有免疫抑制作用的病毒性病原体,它的存在会加剧细菌合并感染,改变抗生素的药代动力学,并可能导致抗生素使用量增加。本研究旨在测量与 PRRSV 感染相关的生长-出栏猪群的 ABU 变化,并描述为控制从产仔到出栏的遗传倍增系统的临床症状而采用的抗生素种类。根据 PRRSV 循环情况,确定了三种 PRRSV 状态(天真、阳性流行和阳性流行)来对批次进行分类,共评估了 135,063 头动物。通过负二项回归和非参数检验(P 值为 0.05),按给药途径计算出每只动物的风险日数(PTDR),以量化不同 PRRSV 状态下的 ABU。此外,为提高 ABU 在国际情况下的可比性,根据欧洲药品管理局指南计算了每人口校正单位毫克数(mg/PCU)。在育雏阶段,不同 PRRSV 状态下的总体 PTDR(注射和饮水给药途径)存在显著的统计学差异,阳性流行状态和地方病状态的 ABU 分别增加到天真 PTDR 的 3.79 倍和 2.51 倍。在育成期,不同 PRRSV 状态下的注射给药 PTDR 有显著的统计学差异,疫情阳性和流行状态下的 ABU 分别增加了 2.74 倍和 2.28 倍。在保育阶段,天真状态的平均 mg/PCU 为 22.27 mg/PCU,阳性流行状态为 86.71 mg/PCU,阳性地方病状态为 33.37 mg/PCU;在结束阶段,平均 mg/PCU 分别为 81.31、76.55 和 67.09 mg/PCU。在育雏阶段,最常注射的抗生素是氨苄西林,占总注射量的 49%,其次是林可霉素(31%)和恩诺沙星(20%);在育成阶段,72%的注射量是林可霉素,其次是恩诺沙星(28%)。结果表明,猪源中的 PRRSV 爆发与生长-育成阶段 ABU 的增加有关,揭示了预防 PRRSV 感染的重要性,从而有可能降低 ABU 并改善猪生产系统中的急性呼吸系统综合症。
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引用次数: 0
Making the invisible visible: Effectiveness of a training program to increase awareness and biosecurity compliance in poultry barn anterooms, using glowing substances 让无形变得有形:利用发光物质提高禽舍前厅的意识和生物安全合规性的培训计划的效果
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106349
Biosecurity is the cornerstone of prevention strategies to limit infectious pathogen spread between poultry farms. However, poor compliance of biosecurity measures is often observed when entering or exiting barns. The lack of knowledge, understanding, risk perception or technical skill are often described for anteroom-related biosecurity errors (i.e., not respecting anteroom zoning in relation to changing boots, clothing, and hand sanitation). In this study, we designed and assessed the efficacy of an intervention aiming at improving biosecurity compliance in anterooms, using substances glowing under ultraviolet light, which mimic microbiological contamination. Training exercises offered in a single session were proposed to 145 participants with an interest in animal farming (veterinary students, agricultural students, poultry farmers and poultry farm advisors). The exercises’ efficacy was assessed by measuring the change in attitude and intentions of participants about specific biosecurity measures. The participants’ attitudes and intentions were quantified using a questionnaire before and after training. The change in score was assessed in a multivariate linear regression model to measure the effect of various parameters on this change. The attitudes and intentions of participants were statistically improved (p < 0.05) and were affected by the initial attitude and intention score, the gender of the participants and the status of the participant (type of student or activity in the poultry industry). The use of this exercise material, perceived as playful and engaging, could be included in the framework of biosecurity training for all stakeholders of the poultry industry.
生物安全是限制传染性病原体在养禽场之间传播的预防策略的基石。然而,在进出禽舍时经常会发现对生物安全措施遵守不力的情况。与前厅相关的生物安全错误(即不遵守前厅分区,不换鞋、不穿衣、不洗手)通常被描述为缺乏知识、理解、风险意识或技术技能。在这项研究中,我们设计并评估了一项干预措施的效果,该措施旨在利用在紫外线下发光的物质来模拟微生物污染,从而提高前厅生物安全合规性。145 名对动物饲养感兴趣的参与者(兽医专业学生、农学专业学生、家禽饲养员和家禽饲养场顾问)参加了单节课的培训练习。通过测量参与者对特定生物安全措施的态度和意向的变化来评估练习的效果。学员的态度和意向在培训前后通过问卷进行了量化。得分变化通过多元线性回归模型进行评估,以衡量各种参数对这一变化的影响。参与者的态度和意向在统计学上有所改善(p <0.05),并受到初始态度和意向得分、参与者性别和参与者身份(学生类型或在家禽业的活动)的影响。该练习材料被认为具有趣味性和吸引力,可将其纳入家禽业所有利益相关者的生物安全培训框架。
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引用次数: 0
Financial impact of low pathogenic avian influenza virus subtype H9N2 on commercial broiler chicken and egg layer production systems in Pakistan H9N2 亚型低致病性禽流感病毒对巴基斯坦商品肉鸡和蛋鸡生产系统的财务影响
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106346
Low Pathogenic Avian Influenza (LPAI) subtype H9N2 is endemic in Pakistan and impacts poultry farming through disease related mortality, poor weight gain and reduced egg production. This study aims to estimate the farm-level financial impact of LPAI H9N2 infection on commercial broiler and layer production systems in Pakistan.
A questionnaire based cross-sectional survey of 138 broiler farms and 136 layer farms in Pakistan was conducted in 2019. Primary data collected by cross-sectional survey along with expert opinion and published literature were used to parameterize five stochastic production and gross margin models for three broiler and two layer production systems: fully integrated production (FIP), partially integrated production (PIP) and independent farming production (IP) systems. Partial budget analysis were then carried out to estimate the financial impact of LPAI H9N2.
Results indicate that in broiler production systems, starting with 35,000 day old chicks (DOC) per batch, the net cost of disease (million PKR/production cycle) was estimated at 4.10 (14,862 USD), 4.62 (16,747 USD) and 2.46 (8917 USD) for IP, PIP and FIP systems, respectively. The disease produced a negative gross margin (defined here as revenue minus replacement and variable costs) in IP (-53 PKR (-0.19 USD)/DOC bought) and PI (-25 PKR (-0.091 USD)/DOC bought) systems, while remained positive for FIP systems (87 PKR (0.32 USD)/DOC bought). For layer production systems, (mean flock size as 48,000 DOCs) the net cost (million PKR/production cycle) was 29.75 (107,095.21 USD) and 29.51 (106,223.45 USD) IP and PIP systems, respectively, and produced negative gross margin in both systems.
The outcomes of the study highlight the vulnerability of independent and partially integrated production systems to the disease. These findings also offer a decision-making tool to the farmers and policy makers to evaluate avian influenza surveillance systems and control interventions in Pakistan.
H9N2 亚型低致病性禽流感(LPAI)是巴基斯坦的地方病,通过与疾病相关的死亡率、增重不良和产蛋量下降影响家禽养殖。本研究旨在估算低致病性禽流感 H9N2 感染对巴基斯坦商业肉鸡和蛋鸡生产系统造成的农场级财务影响。通过横断面调查收集的原始数据以及专家意见和公开发表的文献被用于对三种肉鸡和两种蛋鸡生产系统的五个随机生产和毛利率模型进行参数化:完全一体化生产系统(FIP)、部分一体化生产系统(PIP)和独立养殖生产系统(IP)。结果表明,在肉鸡生产系统中,从每批 35,000 只日龄雏鸡(DOC)开始,估计 IP、PIP 和 FIP 系统的疾病净成本(百万巴基斯坦卢比/生产周期)分别为 4.10(14,862 美元)、4.62(16,747 美元)和 2.46(8917 美元)。该疾病在 IP(-53 人民币(-0.19 美元)/购买的有机肥)和 PI(-25 人民币(-0.091 美元)/购买的有机肥)系统中产生负毛利率(此处定义为收入减去替代成本和可变成本),而在 FIP 系统中保持正毛利率(87 人民币(0.32 美元)/购买的有机肥)。对于蛋鸡生产系统(平均鸡群规模为 48,000 DOCs),IP 系统和 PIP 系统的净成本(百万巴基斯坦卢比/生产周期)分别为 29.75(107,095.21 美元)和 29.51(106,223.45 美元),两个系统的毛利率均为负值。这些研究结果还为农民和政策制定者评估巴基斯坦禽流感监测系统和控制干预措施提供了决策工具。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing efficiencies of population control methods for responding to introductions of transboundary animal diseases in wild pigs 比较应对野猪跨界动物疫病传入的种群控制方法的效率
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106347
Introductions of transboundary animal diseases (TADs) into free-ranging wildlife can be difficult to control and devastating for domestic livestock trade. Combating a new TAD introduction in wildlife with an emergency response requires quickly limiting spread of the disease by intensely removing wild animals within a contiguous area. In the case of African swine fever virus (ASFv) in wild pigs (Sus scrofa), which has been spreading in many regions of the world, there is little information on the time- and cost-efficiency of methods for intensively and consistently culling wild pigs and recovering carcasses in an emergency response scenario. We compared the efficiencies of aerial operations, trapping, experimental toxic baiting, and ground shooting in northcentral Texas, USA during two months in 2023. Culling and recovering carcasses of wild pigs averaged a rate of 0.15 wild pigs/person hour and cost an average of $233.04/wild pig ($USD 2023) across all four methods. Aerial operations required the greatest initial investment but subsequently was the most time- and cost-efficient, costing an average of $7266 to reduce the population by a standard measure of 10 %, including recovering carcasses. Aerial operations required a ground crew of ∼7 people/helicopter to recover carcasses. Costs for reducing the population of wild pigs using trapping were similar, although took 13.5 times longer to accomplish. In cases where carcass recovery and disposal are needed (e.g., response to ASFv), a benefit of trapping was immediate carcass recovery. Toxic baiting was less efficient because both culling and carcass recovery required substantial time. We culled very few wild pigs with ground shooting in this landscape. Our results provide insight on the efficiencies of each removal method. Strategically combining removal methods may increase overall efficiency. Overall, our findings inform the preparation of resources, personnel needs, and deployment readiness for TAD responses involving wild pigs.
跨界动物疾病(TAD)传入自由放养的野生动物可能难以控制,并对国内牲畜贸易造成破坏。要以紧急应对措施遏制新的 TAD 传入野生动物,就必须在毗连地区内集中清除野生动物,从而迅速限制疾病的传播。野猪(Sus scrofa)中的非洲猪瘟病毒(ASFv)已在世界许多地区传播,但在应急响应情况下,有关集中、持续扑杀野猪并回收尸体的方法的时间和成本效益的信息却很少。在 2023 年的两个月里,我们在美国得克萨斯州中北部比较了空中作业、诱捕、试验性毒饵投放和地面射击的效率。在所有四种方法中,捕杀和回收野猪尸体的平均比率为 0.15 头野猪/人小时,平均成本为 233.04 美元/野猪(2023 年美元)。空中作业所需的初始投资最大,但随后的时间和成本效益最高,平均花费 7266 美元即可将野猪数量减少 10%,包括回收野猪尸体。空中作业需要 7 人/直升机的地面工作人员来回收尸体。使用诱捕法减少野猪数量的成本与此类似,但需要花费 13.5 倍的时间才能完成。在需要回收和处理尸体的情况下(如应对 ASFv),诱捕的好处是可以立即回收尸体。毒饵诱捕的效率较低,因为扑杀和尸体回收都需要大量时间。在这片土地上,我们通过地面射击捕杀的野猪数量很少。我们的研究结果让我们了解了每种清除方法的效率。有策略地将清除方法结合起来可能会提高整体效率。总之,我们的研究结果为涉及野猪的战术性退化评估应对措施的资源准备、人员需求和部署准备提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of three serological tests for the diagnosis of Brucella suis in dogs using Bayesian latent class analysis 利用贝叶斯潜类分析法评估用于诊断狗患猪布鲁氏杆菌的三种血清检验方法
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106345
Brucella suis infection of dogs is an emerging issue worldwide requiring specific management to address zoonotic risks and animal welfare concerns. Diagnosis in dogs is routinely based on serological testing, but to date these tests have only been validated for use in production animal species and humans. This study aimed to assess the diagnostic performance of three commonly used serological tests in dogs. Canine sera (n = 989) were tested with the Rose Bengal rapid plate agglutination test (RBRPT), the complement fixation test (CFT) and a competitive ELISA (C-ELISA). Diagnostic test performance was evaluated using a three test, two population Bayesian latent class analysis accounting for conditional dependence between the three tests. Positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) were calculated for a range of expected prevalence estimates for the individual tests and test combinations interpreted in series and parallel. The RBRPT showed the highest individual Se of 0.902 (95 % posterior credible interval [PCI] 0.759–0.978) and the CFT the highest individual diagnostic specificity (Sp) of 0.914 (95 % PCI 0.886–0.946). The C-ELISA had marginally the best overall diagnostic performance (Youden’s index = 0.807). The CFT and the C-ELISA interpreted in parallel returned the highest combined Se and Sp (0.988 and 0.885, respectively). All tests returned NPVs of > 0.982 in 2–8 % prevalence settings. Series interpretation of the three-test combination as well as the two-test combinations of the RBRPT and the C-ELISA and the CFT and the C-ELISA produced a PPV of 0.502 when the estimated prevalence was 8 %. While all tests are suitable for the detection of B. suis antibodies in dogs, they should not be interpreted in isolation as their diagnostic value is dependent on the pre-test probability of the disease. As such they are useful tools for the diagnosis of B. suis in dogs when exposure, history and clinical presentation indicate a risk of brucellosis.
狗感染布鲁氏菌是全球范围内一个新出现的问题,需要采取专门的管理措施来应对人畜共患病风险和动物福利问题。狗的诊断通常以血清学检测为基础,但迄今为止,这些检测仅在生产动物物种和人类中得到验证。本研究旨在评估狗的三种常用血清学检测方法的诊断性能。用玫瑰孟加拉快速平板凝集试验(RBRPT)、补体固定试验(CFT)和竞争性酶联免疫吸附试验(C-ELISA)对犬血清(n = 989)进行了检测。诊断检测性能的评估采用了三项检测、两种人群贝叶斯潜类分析法,并考虑了三项检测之间的条件依赖性。计算了单项检测和串联与并联检测组合的一系列预期流行率估计值的阳性预测值和阴性预测值(PPV、NPV)。RBRPT 的单项 Se 值最高,为 0.902(95 % 可信区间 [PCI] 0.759-0.978),CFT 的单项诊断特异性 (Sp) 最高,为 0.914(95 % 可信区间 [PCI] 0.886-0.946)。C-ELISA的总体诊断性能稍好一些(尤登指数=0.807)。同时解读的 CFT 和 C-ELISA 的综合 Se 和 Sp 值最高(分别为 0.988 和 0.885)。在发病率为 2-8% 的情况下,所有检测的净现值均为 > 0.982。当估计流行率为 8% 时,三项检测组合以及 RBRPT 和 C-ELISA 两项检测组合、CFT 和 C-ELISA 两项检测组合的系列解释产生的 PPV 为 0.502。虽然所有检测方法都适用于检测犬的猪蓝耳病抗体,但它们的诊断价值取决于检测前的患病概率,因此不应孤立地进行解释。因此,当接触、病史和临床表现表明狗有感染布鲁氏菌病的风险时,它们是诊断布鲁氏菌病的有用工具。
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Preventive veterinary medicine
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