对财富税的行为反应:哥伦比亚的证据

Juliana Londoño-Vélez, Javier Ávila Mahecha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们研究了哥伦比亚对个人财富税的行为反应。我们利用与泄露的巴拿马文件相关联的 1993 年至 2016 年税收微观数据,调查了向该国主要避税港的离岸外包。我们利用聚类和差分技术,利用税负的离散跳跃和财富税制度的四次重大改革(包括税率和期限的变化)带来的变化。我们发现有令人信服的证据表明,纳税人会在财富税征收后立即减少他们申报的财富。此外,即使在财富税不再征收后,这些影响也会持续数年,这首次证明了临时性税收政策的滞后效应。这种反应是由当局无法交叉核实的虚报项目所驱动的,例如多报债务和少报非第三方报告的商业资产。此外,最富有的纳税人会通过将资产藏匿于难以追踪的避税地实体来应对财富税的增加。
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Behavioral Responses to Wealth Taxation: Evidence from Colombia
We study behavioral responses to personal wealth taxes in Colombia. We utilize tax microdata from 1993 to 2016 linked with the leaked Panama Papers to investigate offshoring to the country’s key tax havens. We leverage variation from discrete jumps in tax liability and four major reforms to the wealth tax system, including changes in tax rates and duration, using bunching and difference-in-difference techniques. We find compelling evidence that taxpayers instantly reduce the wealth they declare in response to a wealth tax. Moreover, these effects can persist for years even after the wealth tax is no longer in place, providing the first evidence of a hysteresis effect for a temporary tax policy. The response is driven by misreporting items that authorities cannot cross-verify, such as overstating debt and understating non-third-party-reported business assets. Additionally, the wealthiest taxpayers respond to wealth tax increases by hiding assets in hard-to-track entities in tax havens.
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