随机森林算法在毕业预测中的应用

Fajar Riskiyono, Deni Mahdiana
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摘要

大学也有责任根据学生所接受的教育水平来确定他们的学习期限。预测学生的学习期限是为了支持学习计划,指导学生按时毕业。在这个问题上,可以应用数据挖掘技术进行预测,即使用随机森林分类法。本研究采用的阶段包括数据收集,即收集学生数据;数据选择阶段,选择 300 名学生,输入 5 个数据属性,包括个人数据(性别、年龄、婚姻状况、工作状况)和学业数据(成绩);输出 1 个属性,包括准时和迟到的选择。下一阶段是预处理阶段,目的是消除重复、噪声和缺失值;数据转换阶段,对年龄属性(年轻和年老)、年级(大和小)进行归一化处理。然后是 3 次数据分割阶段,即 50/50、40/60 和 30/60;最后是使用随机森林建模阶段;最后是通过分析由准确率、精确率和召回率组成的混淆矩阵进行评估阶段。研究结果表明,所提出的模型可以很好地进行预测,即对所有三种数据分割的结果都相同。测试值为准确率 100%、召回率 100%、精确率 100%。在此数值下,预测学生毕业及时性的成功率将更加准确
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Implementation of Random Forest Algorithm for Graduation Prediction
University also has responsibility for the period of study taken by students in accordance with the level of education taken. The prediction of student study duration is designed to support the study program in guiding students to graduate on time. In this problem, data mining techniques can be applied to make predictions, namely by using the Random Forest classification method. The stages used in this study are data collecting, namely collecting student data, the data selection stage of 300 students with 5 (five) input data attributes including personal data (gender, age, marital status, job status) and academic data (grade) and 1 (one) attribute as an output containing choices about on time and late. The next stage is preprocessing with the aim of eliminating duplication, noise, and missing values, the stage of data transformation by normalizing age attributes (young and old), grade (large and small). Then the data split stage 3 times, namely 50/50, 40/60, and 30/60, the modeling stage with random forest, and finally, the evaluation stage by analyzing the confusion matrix consisting of accuracy, precision, and recall. The results of the study show that the proposed model can do well with predictions, that is, with the same results for all three data splits. The test value is 100% accuracy, 100% recall, and 100% precision. With this value, the success rate for predicting the timeliness of student graduation will be more accurate
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