公共投资对富安省经济增长的影响

Văn Trí Trần, Công Hướng Lê
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是确定公共投资对富安省经济增长的影响,并在此基础上提出一些解决方案,以便更有效地利用这些投资。研究采用向量误差修正模型(VECM - Vector Error Correction Model),数据收集自《富安省统计年鉴》和相关机构,时间跨度为 1996 年至 2022 年,共 27 年。研究结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,公共投资都对富安省的经济增长产生了积极影响,其中长期影响水平高于短期影响。此外,研究结果还显示,经济中的劳动力工作也对长期和短期经济增长产生积极影响。就私人投资而言,它在短期内对 GRDP 的增长有负面影响,而在长期内则有正面影响。这些研究结果对富安省的公共投资管理活动具有重要意义。
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Impact of public investment on economic growth of Phu Yen province
The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of public investment on the economic growth of Phu Yen province and on that basis, the author recommended some solutions to use this investment more effectively. The study uses the vector error correction model (VECM - Vector Error Correction Model) with data collected from Phu Yen Provincial Statistical Yearbook and related agencies in 27 years, from 1996 to 2022. The research results show that public investment has a positive impact on the economic growth of Phu Yen province in both the short and long term, in which the level of impact in the long term is higher than in the short term. In addition, the research results also show that labor working in the economy also positively impacts long-term and short-term economic growth. For private investment, it has a negative impact on GRDP growth in the short term and a positive impact in the long term. These findings have important implications for public investment management activities in Phu Yen province.
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