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The impact of macroprudential policies on bank’s profitability: Empirical evidence from Vietnam 宏观审慎政策对银行盈利能力的影响:越南的经验证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2696
Phương Anh Phạm, Nhật Minh Nguyễn
This paper investigates the impact of macroprudential policies on the profitability of 27 Vietnamese commercial banks from 2014:Q3 to 2023:Q3. This paper uses panel data regression methods combined with tests to resolve the endogeneity issue, and robustness checks produce consistent research results. Accordingly, empirical results show that contractionary macroprudential policies have a positive impact on the profitability of Vietnamese commercial banks. The results from the quantile regression model indicate that contractionary macroprudential policies help commercial banks with low ROA quantiles improve profitability better than banks with high ROA quantiles. Based on that, this research forms several recommendations including: the banks should conduct appropriate strategies to align to macroprudential regulations; the State Bank of Vietnam is in charge of the banks in complying to these regulations.
本文研究了2014:Q3至2023:Q3期间宏观审慎政策对27家越南商业银行盈利能力的影响。本文采用面板数据回归方法,结合检验解决了内生性问题,稳健性检验得出了一致的研究结果。因此,实证结果表明,收缩性宏观审慎政策对越南商业银行的盈利能力有积极影响。量值回归模型的结果表明,收缩性宏观审慎政策有助于低投资回报率量值的商业银行比高投资回报率量值的银行更好地提高盈利能力。在此基础上,本研究提出了几项建议,包括:银行应采取适当的策略,以符合宏观审慎法规;越南国家银行负责银行遵守这些法规。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of market power on bank stability: Empirical evidence from Vietnam 市场力量对银行稳定性的影响:越南的经验证据
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2634
Nhật Minh Nguyễn, Thị Phương Anh Trần, Thị Thu Trang Nguyễn
This paper investigates the impact of market power on the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks using a quarterly unbalanced panel data set of 22 commercial banks in the period from Q2:2015 to Q3:2023, combined with panel data analysis models. Research results show that market power has a negative impact on the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks, implying that a more competitive banking market will have higher stability. In addition, a higher non-performing loan ratio, loan-to-deposit ratio and inflation also make banks less stable, as these factors increase bankruptcy risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk. On that basis, this paper proposes some policy recommendations to improve the stability of Vietnamese commercial banks, including creating a favorable banking business environment, encouraging diversification and innovation in the banking market (such as supporting small banks to increase capital or establish FinTech in a controlled manner). In addition, commercial banks need to proactively manage their internal factors such as credit risk and loan to deposit ratio to ensure stability.
本文利用2015年第二季度至2023年第三季度22家商业银行的季度非平衡面板数据集,结合面板数据分析模型,研究了市场力量对越南商业银行稳定性的影响。研究结果表明,市场力量对越南商业银行的稳定性有负面影响,这意味着竞争更激烈的银行市场将具有更高的稳定性。此外,较高的不良贷款率、贷存比和通货膨胀也会降低银行的稳定性,因为这些因素会增加破产风险、流动性风险和信贷风险。在此基础上,本文提出了一些提高越南商业银行稳定性的政策建议,包括创造良好的银行经营环境、鼓励银行市场的多元化和创新(如支持小型银行增加资本或在可控的情况下建立金融科技公司)。此外,商业银行需要积极管理其内部因素,如信贷风险和存贷比,以确保稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of inexperienced investors’ attitudes towards the use of AI services in the stock investment 缺乏经验的投资者对在股票投资中使用人工智能服务的态度的决定因素
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2669
Ngọc Minh Ngô, Hương Trang KIm, Linh Chi Nguyễn, Thị Thúy Hiền Tăng, Minh Thư Nguyễn
Using the partial least squares Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) on primary data collected from surveys of 466 inexperienced investors in Vietnam during September and October 2023, our study explores the factors that influence investor attitudes towards the use of AI services in six distinct tasks within the stock investment process. The results indicate that perceived usefulness, subjective norms, and trust significantly affect these investors’ attitudes towards AI use in stock investments. However, the perceived ease of use impacts only the tasks that involve straightforward processing. Based on these findings, we recommend that financial service providers tailor their product development strategies to attract potential customers in this emerging market.
本研究利用偏最小二乘法结构方程模型(SEM),对 2023 年 9 月至 10 月期间在越南调查收集的 466 名缺乏经验的投资者的原始数据进行分析,探讨了影响投资者在股票投资过程中的六项不同任务中使用人工智能服务的态度的因素。结果表明,感知有用性、主观规范和信任会显著影响这些投资者对在股票投资中使用人工智能的态度。然而,感知到的易用性只影响涉及直接处理的任务。基于这些发现,我们建议金融服务提供商调整其产品开发战略,以吸引这一新兴市场的潜在客户。
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引用次数: 0
Nhân tố tác động đến mối quan hệ giữa ý định và hành vi sử dụng Fintech: Bằng chứng thực nghiệm tại Việt Nam 您可以通过以下方式了解金融科技:在越南建立自己的公司
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2656
Thế Anh Khúc, Đức Dương Nguyễn, K. Phương, Diệu Linh Lê
This study focuses on evaluating factors that impact the relationship between intention and behavior of using fintech. Data in the study were collected from 351 observations during the period from September 2023 to December 2023, using linear structural modeling (SEM) to test hypotheses, including the relationship of all potential variables. The results show that Financial Knowledge (FL) is a moderating factor in the relationship between Intention (IT) and Fintech Usage Behavior (UFB), and Financial Self-Efficacy Belief (FSE) is Mediating factor in the relationship between Financial Education (FL) and Fintech Usage Behavior (UFB). In addition, the moderating role of Facilitating Conditions (FC) in the relationship between Intention to Use (IT) and Fintech Usage Behavior (UFB) is not statistically significant. We give some recommendations such as minimizing cybersecurity risks or providing financial literacy training for users.
本研究重点评估影响使用金融科技的意向与行为之间关系的因素。研究数据收集自 2023 年 9 月至 2023 年 12 月期间的 351 个观测点,使用线性结构模型(SEM)检验假设,包括所有潜在变量的关系。结果显示,金融知识(FL)是金融科技使用意向(IT)与金融科技使用行为(UFB)之间关系的调节因子,金融自我效能信念(FSE)是金融教育(FL)与金融科技使用行为(UFB)之间关系的中介因子。此外,促进条件(FC)在使用意向(IT)和金融科技使用行为(UFB)之间的调节作用在统计学上并不显著。我们提出了一些建议,如尽量降低网络安全风险或为用户提供金融知识培训。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of exchange rate volatility on Vietnam’s agricultural exports and the role of financial liberalization in its trading partners 汇率波动对越南农产品出口的影响及其贸易伙伴金融自由化的作用
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2626
Thị Thu Hương Nguyễn
This study assesses the impact of real exchange rate volatility on Vietnam’s agricultural exports, considering the role financial liberalization in its trading partners. The author employs Poisson pseudomaximum likelihood estimators to estimate a gravity model covering bilateral agricultural exports from Vietnam to 187 its trading partners during 1996-2021. The empirical results of this study indicate that exchange rate volatility hampers agricultural exports of Vietnam and financial liberalization in its trading partners is crucial for alleviating this adverse nexus. Therefore, maintaining stable exchange rate is necessary to boost agricultural exports of Vietnam. In addition, under great turmoil in global economy with strong fluctuations in exchange rates, Vietnam still has a chance to increase its agricultural exports to countries that have high levels of financial liberalization. This finding has an important implication for selecting trading partners to improve export performance of agricultural sector in Vietnam.
考虑到越南贸易伙伴金融自由化的作用,本研究评估了实际汇率波动对越南农产品出口的影响。作者采用泊松伪极大似然估计法估计了 1996-2021 年间越南对其 187 个贸易伙伴的双边农产品出口的引力模型。本研究的实证结果表明,汇率波动阻碍了越南的农产品出口,而其贸易伙伴的金融自由化对于缓解这种不利关系至关重要。因此,保持汇率稳定是促进越南农产品出口的必要条件。此外,在全球经济动荡、汇率剧烈波动的情况下,越南仍有机会增加对金融自由化程度高的国家的农产品出口。这一发现对越南选择贸易伙伴以提高农业部门出口绩效具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Factors affecting entrepreneurial intentions of students after graduation: Empirical research at universities in Hanoi, Vietnam 影响学生毕业后创业意向的因素:越南河内各大学的实证研究
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2627
Văn Phương Nguyễn, Ngọc Hương Quỳnh Phạm
This study aims to investigate the influence of factors on the entrepreneurial intentions of students after graduation. This study conducted a survey of 388 students studying at universities in Hanoi (Vietnam) from January 2023 to March 2023. The PLS- SEM model is used to test the research hypotheses and proposed research model. Research results show that the Capital factor has the strongest influence on students’ intention to start a business after graduation, followed by Perceived behavioral control, then Attitude, Knowledge and experience. Subjective standards and finally the Entrepreneurship education factor. Based on the results of this analysis, relevant organizations such as ministries, departments, and universities can provide appropriate solutions to arouse and promote students’ entrepreneurial intentions after graduation.
本研究旨在探讨学生毕业后创业意向的影响因素。本研究于 2023 年 1 月至 2023 年 3 月对河内(越南)各大学的 388 名学生进行了调查。采用 PLS- SEM 模型检验研究假设和提出的研究模型。研究结果表明,资本因素对学生毕业后创业意向的影响最大,其次是感知行为控制,然后是态度、知识和经验。主观标准,最后是创业教育因素。根据分析结果,部委、部门和高校等相关组织可以提供适当的解决方案,以激发和促进学生毕业后的创业意向。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of public investment on economic growth of Phu Yen province 公共投资对富安省经济增长的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.07.2721
Văn Trí Trần, Công Hướng Lê
The purpose of this study is to determine the impact of public investment on the economic growth of Phu Yen province and on that basis, the author recommended some solutions to use this investment more effectively. The study uses the vector error correction model (VECM - Vector Error Correction Model) with data collected from Phu Yen Provincial Statistical Yearbook and related agencies in 27 years, from 1996 to 2022. The research results show that public investment has a positive impact on the economic growth of Phu Yen province in both the short and long term, in which the level of impact in the long term is higher than in the short term. In addition, the research results also show that labor working in the economy also positively impacts long-term and short-term economic growth. For private investment, it has a negative impact on GRDP growth in the short term and a positive impact in the long term. These findings have important implications for public investment management activities in Phu Yen province.
本研究的目的是确定公共投资对富安省经济增长的影响,并在此基础上提出一些解决方案,以便更有效地利用这些投资。研究采用向量误差修正模型(VECM - Vector Error Correction Model),数据收集自《富安省统计年鉴》和相关机构,时间跨度为 1996 年至 2022 年,共 27 年。研究结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,公共投资都对富安省的经济增长产生了积极影响,其中长期影响水平高于短期影响。此外,研究结果还显示,经济中的劳动力工作也对长期和短期经济增长产生积极影响。就私人投资而言,它在短期内对 GRDP 的增长有负面影响,而在长期内则有正面影响。这些研究结果对富安省的公共投资管理活动具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Measure the flow of information from financial markets to gold market by transfer entropy: Evidence from Vietnam 用转移熵衡量从金融市场到黄金市场的信息流:越南的证据
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.04.2639
Thị Thùy Dương Trương
Measuring the information flows between financial markets brings benefits for investors and policymakers. This study considers information flows from the US gold market, crude oil, Federal funds rate to the Vietnames gold market from 4th January, 2004 to 7th December, 2023 using transfer entropy. The data is collected from Fred.stlouisfed.org and World Gold Council. The results show that among examining factors US gold price has strongest impact on Vietnames gold, meanwhile, the gold market reacts more slowly the information from US crude oil market and Federal funds rate. The outcome provides a reference channel for investors to make decisions.
衡量金融市场之间的信息流可为投资者和政策制定者带来益处。本研究利用转移熵对 2004 年 1 月 4 日至 2023 年 12 月 7 日期间从美国黄金市场、原油、联邦基金利率到越南黄金市场的信息流进行了研究。数据来自 Fred.stlouisfed.org 和世界黄金协会。结果表明,在考察因素中,美国黄金价格对越南黄金的影响最大,同时,黄金市场对来自美国原油市场和联邦基金利率的信息反应较慢。这一结果为投资者决策提供了参考渠道。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of employees’ digital literacy in the financial and non-financial sectors in Vietnam 越南金融和非金融行业员工数字素养的决定因素
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.04.2507
Văn Hinh Lê, Tường Vân Nguyễn
This study aims to explore the determinants of employees’ digital literacy in the financial and non-financial sectors in Vietnam. Data for analysis were obtained from 979 respondents (272 from financial sector and 707 from non-financial sector). The results of exploratory factor analysis (EFA) show that there are 7 factors have a statistically significant impact on digital literacy. In addition, ANOVA’s analysis shows that there is a difference in digital literacy between employees in the financial sector and those in other sectors. The study also found that there is a difference in digital literacy between groups of education levels (within educational groups, respectively digital literacy decreases: doctorate, master, university, colleges and high school). Policy recommendations on comprehensive digital literacy training in the direction of a national campaign are also discussed.
本研究旨在探讨越南金融和非金融行业员工数字素养的决定因素。分析数据来自 979 名受访者(其中 272 人来自金融行业,707 人来自非金融行业)。探索性因子分析(EFA)结果表明,有 7 个因子对数字素养有显著影响。此外,方差分析显示,金融行业员工与其他行业员工的数字素养存在差异。研究还发现,不同教育水平的群体在数字素养方面存在差异(在教育群体内部,数字素养下降的群体分别是:博士、硕士、大学、大专和高中)。研究还讨论了在全国范围内开展全面数字扫盲培训的政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Factors influencing accounting information system effectiveness among small and mediumsized enterprises in Vietnam 影响越南中小企业会计信息系统有效性的因素
Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.59276/jelb.2024.04.2596
Thế Hùng Đinh, Thanh Phương Nguyễn, Diễm Quỳnh Phạm, Lan Anh Hoàng, Phan Anh Trần, Công Kiên Nguyễn
This article aims to present the study of factors influencing accounting information system effectiveness among SMEs in Vietnam. Based on the inheritance of previous studies, the research team suggests that there are five main factors that affect accounting information system effectiveness, including: IT Sophistication, Manager Knowledge, Manager Participation in accounting information system Implementation, Accountant Knowledge and Training for Accountant. The researches conducted a survey on 135 respondents form SMEs in Vietnam via questionnaires from December, 2022 to February, 2023. Through correlation regression testing method, the research team concluded that the aforementioned factors have impacts on accounting information system effectiveness. Based on this result, the research team proposed a number of recommendations for the improvement of accounting information system effectiveness among SMEs in Vietnam.
本文旨在介绍越南中小企业会计信息系统有效性的影响因素研究。在继承前人研究的基础上,研究小组认为影响会计信息系统有效性的主要因素有五个,包括信息技术先进性、经理知识、经理参与会计信息系统实施、会计知识和会计培训。研究人员于 2022 年 12 月至 2023 年 2 月期间通过问卷调查的方式对越南 135 家中小企业进行了调查。通过相关回归测试法,研究小组得出结论,上述因素对会计信息系统的有效性有影响。在此基础上,研究小组提出了提高越南中小企业会计信息系统有效性的若干建议。
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引用次数: 0
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Tạp chí Kinh tế - Luật và Ngân hàng
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