带有疫苗接种和时间延迟的分数流行病 SEIR 模型分析

Sara Soulaimani, Abdelilah Kaddar, Fathalla A. Rihan
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摘要

本文分析了一个分数阶 SEIR 感染流行病模型,包括时间延迟和疫苗接种策略。四个微分方程描述了非整数导数阶的感染动力学,其中考虑了疾病传播中的记忆效应和非局部相互作用。本文首先确定了解的存在性和唯一性,并根据基本繁殖数 \(R_{0}\)提出了平衡点。利用 Lyapunov 直接法,证明了每个平衡点的全局稳定性主要取决于 \(R_{0}\)。通过数值模拟,探讨了疫苗接种和分数导数对流行病动态的影响,从而验证了理论结论。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Analysis of a fractional endemic SEIR model with vaccination and time delay

This article analyzes a fractional-order SEIR infection epidemic model, including time delays and vaccination strategies. Four differential equations describe the infection dynamics with non-integer derivative orders, which account for memory effects and non-local interactions in disease spread. The paper first establishes the existence and uniqueness of the solution and presents equilibrium points based on the basic reproduction number, \(R_{0}\). Using the Lyapunov direct method, the global stability of each equilibrium is proven to depend primarily on \(R_{0}\). Theoretical findings are validated through numerical simulations, exploring the impact of vaccination and fractional derivatives on the epidemic dynamics.

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