利用术前生化指标预测动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血患者术后预后的提名图模型

IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY BMC Neurology Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI:10.1186/s12883-024-03774-1
Zhen Sun, Fei Xue, Kunpeng Wang, Dongbo Zhang, Mengning Dong, Jiandang Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(aSAH)患者的营养状况和炎症反应对预后起着至关重要的作用。我们研究了术前预后营养指数(PNI)、中性粒细胞/白蛋白比值(NAR)、血小板/白蛋白比值(PAR)等因素与动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血患者临床预后的关系及其预测模型。回顾性分析了2018年至2023年间在南阳市中心医院接受神经外科手术的212例aSAH患者的临床资料。根据术后6个月的格拉斯哥结果量表(GOS)评分,将患者分为两组:预后差组(GOSI-III)和预后好组(GOSIV-V)。为确定术前 PNI、NAR、PAR、高脂血症和格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)对预后的预测价值,进行了多变量逻辑回归分析。此外,还构建了提名图和预后预测模型。利用接收者操作特征曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)来确定预测值。多变量逻辑回归分析显示,PNI(OR = 1.250,95%CI 1.060 ~ 1.475,P = 0.008)、NAR(OR = 0.000,95%CI 0.000 ~ 0.004,P = 0.000)、PAR(OR = 0.515,95%CI 0.283 ~ 0.937, P = 0.030)、高脂血症(OR = 4.627, 95%CI 1.166 ~ 18.367, P = 0.029)和 GCS(OR = 1.446, 95%CI 1.041 ~ 2.008, P = 0.028)是术后预后不良的独立危险因素。提名图的总分为 200,AUC 值为 0.972。PNI和NAR可以反映患者的营养状况和炎症反应,它们与aSAH患者的术后预后显著相关。结合其他临床指标对PNI和NAR进行综合分析,可以更有效地指导治疗并帮助预测预后。
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A nomogram model for predicting postoperative prognosis in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage using preoperative biochemical indices
The nutritional status and inflammatory responses of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) play a vital prognostic role. We investigated the relationship between preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI)、neutrophil/albumin ratio (NAR)、platelet/albumin ratio (PAR) and other factors and the clinical prognosis of patients who underwent clipping for aSAH and its predictive model. The clinical data of 212 patients with aSAH who underwent neurosurgery at Nanyang Central Hospital between 2018 and 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Based on the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score at 6 months postoperatively, the patients were categorized into two groups: poor (GOSI-III) and good (GOSIV-V) prognosis groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the predictive value of preoperative PNI、NAR、PAR、hyperlipidemia and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) for prognosis. Furthermore, nomograms and prognostic prediction models were constructed. Receiver operating characteristic curves and area under the curve (AUC) were utilized to determine the predictive values. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that PNI (OR = 1.250, 95%CI 1.060 ~ 1.475, P = 0.008), NAR (OR = 0.000, 95%CI 0.000 ~ 0.004, P = 0.000), PAR(OR = 0.515, 95%CI 0.283 ~ 0.937, P = 0.030), hyperlipidemia (OR = 4.627, 95%CI 1.166 ~ 18.367, P = 0.029), and GCS(OR = 1.446, 95%CI 1.041 ~ 2.008, P = 0.028) are independent risk factors for poor postoperative prognosis. The total score of the nomogram was 200, and the AUC value was 0.972. PNI and NAR can reflect the nutritional status and inflammatory responses of patients.They are significantly associated with the postoperative prognosis of patients with aSAH. Comprehensively analyzing PNI and NAR combined with other clinical indicators can more effectively guide treatment and help predict prognosis.
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来源期刊
BMC Neurology
BMC Neurology 医学-临床神经学
CiteScore
4.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
428
审稿时长
3-8 weeks
期刊介绍: BMC Neurology is an open access, peer-reviewed journal that considers articles on all aspects of the prevention, diagnosis and management of neurological disorders, as well as related molecular genetics, pathophysiology, and epidemiology.
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