社会科学研究中现代因果推理的方法论基础

Guanghui Pan
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摘要

本文是对社会科学研究中已经或将要使用的(现代)因果推理方法的文献综述,这些方法用于利用观察/调查数据进行因果估计。本文主要分为两部分:从统计估计中推断因果估计,其中我们回顾了因果识别的假设,以及在违反某些假设时解决问题的方法策略。我们还讨论了从观察数据到理论测量的渐近分析,并复制了当前社会科学分析中常用的系数/双稳健平均治疗效果估计器的推导。
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Methodological Foundations of Modern Causal Inference in Social Science Research
This paper serves as a literature review of methodology concerning the (modern) causal inference methods to address the causal estimand with observational/survey data that have been or will be used in social science research. Mainly, this paper is divided into two parts: inference from statistical estimand for the causal estimand, in which we reviewed the assumptions for causal identification and the methodological strategies addressing the problems if some of the assumptions are violated. We also discuss the asymptotical analysis concerning the measure from the observational data to the theoretical measure and replicate the deduction of the efficient/doubly robust average treatment effect estimator, which is commonly used in current social science analysis.
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