Titration of RAS alters senescent state and influences tumour initiation.

Oncogenic RAS-induced senescence (OIS) is an autonomous tumour suppressor mechanism associated with premalignancy^1,2. Achieving this phenotype typically requires a high level of oncogenic stress, yet the phenotype provoked by lower oncogenic dosage remains unclear. Here we develop oncogenic RAS dose-escalation models in vitro and in vivo, revealing a RAS dose-driven non-linear continuum of downstream phenotypes. In a hepatocyte OIS model in vivo, ectopic expression of NRAS(G12V) does not induce tumours, in part owing to OIS-driven immune clearance³. Single-cell RNA sequencing analyses reveal distinct hepatocyte clusters with typical OIS or progenitor-like features, corresponding to high and intermediate levels of NRAS(G12V), respectively. When titred down, NRAS(G12V)-expressing hepatocytes become immune resistant and develop tumours. Time-series monitoring at single-cell resolution identifies two distinct tumour types: early-onset aggressive undifferentiated and late-onset differentiated hepatocellular carcinoma. The molecular signature of each mouse tumour type is associated with different progenitor features and enriched in distinct human hepatocellular carcinoma subclasses. Our results define the oncogenic dosage-driven OIS spectrum, reconciling the senescence and tumour initiation phenotypes in early tumorigenesis.