利用心理图像测量中国的气候变化认知:全国范围内的开放式调查。

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2024-08-11 DOI:10.1111/risa.17631
Jianxun Yang, Wei He, Ziqian Xia, Kehan Wu, Wen Fang, Zongwei Ma, Miaomiao Liu, Jun Bi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目前有关公众气候变化认知的知识主要包括信念、关注和态度。然而,如何利用个人自身的参照系来解释这些论述在很大程度上仍是未知数,尤其是在许多非附件一国家的排放大国,如中国。本研究首次在全国范围内开展开放式调查,覆盖了 4037 名受访者,收集了 12100 个文本答案。通过半自动编码方法,我们发现了七种专门代表中国人对气候变化问题解读的心理意象,包括全球变暖、遥远的图标、自然灾害、环境恶化、原因、解决方案和天气。对影响因素的分析表明,女性、教育水平较低、收入较低和年龄较大的人倾向于将气候变化与自然天气现象联系起来。发达城市的年轻居民和受过良好教育的居民更了解气候变化的各种后果和人为原因。拥有更强烈的气候变化信念、政策支持和极端天气亲身经历的人更有可能提及灾难性影响、碳排放原因和潜在的解决方案。利用多层次回归和后分层技术,我们绘制了中国地市级心理图像的流行程度图。结果显示了明显的地域异质性,估计的全国平均值从最高的 55%(天气)到最低的 11%(解决方案)不等。我们的研究结果揭示了中国公众对气候变化的不同看法和普遍误解,这表明有必要采取有针对性的澄清策略,以获得公众的认同。
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Measuring climate change perception in China using mental images: A nationwide open-ended survey.

Current knowledge about public climate change perception mainly covers belief, concern, and attitudes. However, how this discourse is interpreted using individuals' own frame of reference remains largely unknown, particularly in many large emitters from non-Annex I countries such as China. This study, for the first time, performs a nationwide open-ended survey covering 4,037 respondents and collected 12,100 textual answers. Using a semiautomated coding method, we find seven mental images that exclusively represent the Chinese interpretation of the climate change issue, including global warming, distant icons, natural disasters, environmental degradation, cause, solution, and weather. Analysis of influencing factors shows that females, those with lower education levels, lower income, and older individuals tend to connect climate change with natural weather phenomena. Younger and well-educated residents in developed cities are more aware of various consequences and anthropogenic causes of climate change. People with stronger climate change beliefs, policy support, and personal experience of extreme weather are more likely to mention disastrous impacts, carbon emission as causes, and potential solutions. Employing the multilevel regression and post-stratification technique, we map the prevalence of mental images in China at the prefecture-city level. The results reveal significant geographical heterogeneity, with estimated national means ranging from a high of 55% (weather) to a low of 11% (solution). Our findings reveal diverse perspectives and a widespread misconception of climate change in China, suggesting the need for tailored clarification strategies to gain public consent.

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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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