基于 DID 模型分析的脱贫户生计可持续性和乡村振兴政策效应研究

Jiamei Zhang, Weijie Lei, Jia Yu, Le Li
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摘要

中国已取得脱贫攻坚战的全面胜利。当前,中国正在加快推进巩固脱贫成果与乡村振兴的有效衔接。本文基于SLA框架,构建生计可持续性指标体系并通过熵权法进行评价,以赣南苏区为研究区域,基于两期DID模型,利用2020年和2022年243户农户的两期面板数据,实证检验了巩固扩大脱贫攻坚成果和乡村振兴政策对脱贫户生计可持续性的影响。研究结果表明,巩固扩大脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴有效衔接政策对农户生计可持续性具有显著的推动作用,使农户生计可持续性水平提高了11.3%,经过稳健性检验,结论仍然可靠。异质性分析发现,该政策对户主受教育程度较高的脱贫户的生计可持续性水平贡献更大。与兼职就业相比,该政策对劳动力主导型和农业主导型脱贫家庭的生计可持续性具有更显著的积极影响
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Study on livelihood sustainability and rural revitalisation policy effects of poverty-eradicating households based on DID model analysis
China has achieved a comprehensive victory in the battle against poverty. At present, China is accelerating the effective connection between consolidating the results of poverty eradication and rural revitalisation. Based on the SLA framework, this paper constructs a livelihood sustainability indicator system and evaluates it through the entropy weight method, takes Gannan Soviet District as the study area, and based on the two-period DID model, empirically examines the impact of the policy of consolidating and expanding the results of poverty alleviation and rural revitalisation on the sustainability of the livelihoods of the households that have been lifted out of poverty, using the two-period panel data in 2020 and 2022 of the 243 farming households. The findings show that the policy of consolidating and expanding the effective linkage between poverty eradication and rural revitalisation has a significant driving effect on the livelihood sustainability of farm households, increasing the level of livelihood sustainability of farm households by 11.3%, and the conclusion remains reliable after the robustness test. Heterogeneity analyses found that the policy contributed more to the livelihood sustainability level of poverty-eradicating households whose head had a high level of education. The policy has a more significant positive effect on the livelihood sustainability of labour-led and agriculture-led households out of poverty than part-time employment
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