多尺度带状风共振引发的亚洲中纬度地区并发极端事件

IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/ad6918
Yingxiao Sun, Qianrong Ma, Taichen Feng, Zhonghua Qian, Zhiwei Zhu, Chao Li and Guolin Feng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化加剧了同时发生的极端气候事件。2022 年 7 月和 2020 年 8 月,亚洲中纬度地区分别发生了意想不到的同期极端事件。突如其来的严重后果凸显了全面了解此类极端事件驱动因素的重要性,这对于改进预测和实施预防措施以降低未来风险至关重要。通过应用多尺度窗口变换方法,确定了多尺度带状风共振的独特机制,表现为与低频带状风的准静止共耦。这种共振导致了气压不稳定性,在准静止喷流的入口和出口区域引发了异常的低频罗斯比波行为。同时,增强的经向风加上大气绝热变暖,扩大了气压不稳定性,导致波型增强和 2022 年的高并发事件。在未来全球长期升温 4 ℃ 的情况下,多尺度带状风共振加强的并发现象预计将持续存在。与 2020 年的机制相比,2022 年的机制在并发事件中发挥了更广泛、更重要的作用。在气候变暖过程中,预计 2022 年观测到的共振现象将更加频繁。
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Concurrent extremes in mid-latitude Asia triggered by resonance of multi-scale zonal wind
Climatic changes worsen concurrent extreme climate events. In July and August of 2022 and 2020, respectively, unexpected concurrent extreme events occurred in mid-latitude Asia. The sudden and severe consequences highlight the importance of a thorough understanding of the drivers of such extreme events, which is crucial for improving predictions and implementing preventive measures to mitigate future risks. By applying multi-scale window transform methodology, a unique mechanism of multi-scale zonal wind resonance is identified, which manifests as a quasi-stationary co-coupling with low-frequency zonal winds. This resonance leads to barotropic instability, triggering abnormal low-frequency Rossby wave behavior in the entrance and exit regions of the quasi-stationary jet stream. Simultaneously, the intensified meridional wind, coupled with adiabatic atmospheric warming, amplifies baroclinic instability, resulting in an enhanced wave pattern and the high concurrence events of 2022. Under long term future global warming levels of 4 °C, the concurrence, strengthened by multi-scale zonal wind resonance, is expected to persist. The mechanism evident in 2022 plays a broader and more significant role in concurrent events compared to the mechanism in 2020. Under the process of warming, resonance phenomena, as observed in 2022, are projected to become more frequent.
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来源期刊
Environmental Research Letters
Environmental Research Letters 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
763
审稿时长
4.3 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Research Letters (ERL) is a high-impact, open-access journal intended to be the meeting place of the research and policy communities concerned with environmental change and management. The journal''s coverage reflects the increasingly interdisciplinary nature of environmental science, recognizing the wide-ranging contributions to the development of methods, tools and evaluation strategies relevant to the field. Submissions from across all components of the Earth system, i.e. land, atmosphere, cryosphere, biosphere and hydrosphere, and exchanges between these components are welcome.
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