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Urban and socioeconomic disparities in PM2.5 exposure across 340 Latin American cities. 340个拉丁美洲城市PM2.5暴露的城市和社会经济差异。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae20a4
Edson J Ascencio, Antony Barja, Jose Montes-Alvis, Josiah L Kephart, Nelson Gouveia, Daniel A Rodriguez, Tarik Benmarhnia, Ana V Diez Roux, Usama Bilal, J Jaime Miranda, Gabriel Carrasco-Escobar

Background. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a leading global health risk. Latin American cities exhibit some of the world's highest urban PM2.5 levels, yet studies of neighborhood-level PM2.5 exposure and associated disparities in the region are limited. Methods. We conducted a cross-sectional ecological analysis of 53 041 neighborhoods across 340 cities in eight Latin American countries, leveraging the Salud Urbana en America Latina study dataset. Annual PM2.5 concentrations were derived from satellite data and linked to socioeconomic and urban characteristics. A multilevel model analyzed associations between neighborhood PM2.5 levels and neighborhood- and city-level characteristics. Results. The median annual neighborhood PM2.5 concentration was 18.49 µg m-3. Of the 256 million residents, all lived in neighborhoods with ambient PM2.5 concentrations that exceeded the 2021 World Health Organization guidelines (5 µg m-3). Variability was greatest between cities (54.3% of total variance), but substantial within-city variation (26% of variance) was observed. Higher neighborhood PM2.5 levels were associated with higher neighborhood educational attainment (mean difference [MD] comparing top to bottom tertile = 0.17 µg m-3), higher neighborhood intersection density (MD comparing top to bottom tertile = 0.17 µg m-3), and older cities (MD comparing top to bottom tertile = 1.45 µg m-3). Lower neighborhood PM2.5 levels were related to higher neighborhood population density (MD comparing top to bottom tertile = - 0.55 µg m-3), more greenness (MD comparing top to bottom tertile = - 0.76 µg m-3), and larger distance from city centers (MD comparing top to bottom tertile = - 0.86 µg m-3). Conclusions. Neighborhoods with higher PM2.5 concentrations tended to have higher educational attainment, more intersections, and be located in older cities, while lower concentrations were associated with denser populations, more green space, and greater distance from city centers. Our findings reveal important within-city heterogeneity in PM2.5 and the factors associated with it, suggesting strategies to mitigate air pollution within cities.

背景。细颗粒物(PM2.5)是全球主要的健康风险。拉丁美洲的一些城市是世界上PM2.5水平最高的城市之一,但对该地区社区PM2.5暴露和相关差异的研究有限。方法。我们利用Salud Urbana en America Latina研究数据集,对8个拉丁美洲国家340个城市的53041个社区进行了横断面生态分析。PM2.5的年浓度来源于卫星数据,并与社会经济和城市特征有关。一个多层次模型分析了社区PM2.5水平与社区和城市水平特征之间的关系。结果。邻里PM2.5年均浓度中位数为18.49µg -3。在2.56亿居民中,所有居民居住的社区的环境PM2.5浓度都超过了2021年世界卫生组织的指导方针(5微克-3)。城市之间的差异最大(占总方差的54.3%),但城市内部的差异很大(占方差的26%)。较高的邻里PM2.5水平与较高的邻里受教育程度(顶层与底层的平均差值[MD]比较= 0.17µg -3)、较高的邻里交叉密度(顶层与底层的MD比较= 0.17µg -3)以及较老的城市(顶层与底层的MD比较= 1.45µg -3)相关。较低的邻里PM2.5水平与较高的邻里人口密度(上层与下层的MD比较= - 0.55µg m-3)、更多的绿化(上层与下层的MD比较= - 0.76µg m-3)以及距离城市中心较远(上层与下层的MD比较= - 0.86µg m-3)有关。结论。PM2.5浓度较高的社区往往受教育程度更高、十字路口更多、位于老城市,而浓度较低的社区则与人口密度更大、绿地更多、距离市中心更远有关。我们的研究结果揭示了PM2.5在城市内部的重要异质性及其相关因素,为缓解城市空气污染提出了策略。
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引用次数: 0
City-wide space-time patterns of environmental noise pollution in Kigali, Rwanda. 卢旺达基加利市环境噪声污染的时空格局。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae1f2c
Jean Remy Kubwimana, Sierra N Clark, James Nimo, Chantal Umutoni, Pacifique Karekezi, Barbara E Mottey, Claudette Nyinawumuntu, Samson Niyizurugero, Silas S Mirau, Pie-Celestin Hakizimana, Isambi S Mbalawata, Paterne Gahungu, Majid Ezzati, Allison F Hughes, Raphael E Arku

As cities in sub-Saharan Africa become more crowded, noise pollution is also emerging as an important environmental concern, after air pollution. Yet, unlike air pollution, which is enjoying relatively more public attention, there is limited measurement data and policy efforts on environmental noise pollution. We followed a recent city-wide measurement approach used in Accra (Ghana) and characterized environmental noise patterns in Kigali, a contrasting city with very different topography and regulatory system than Accra to inform urban policy. We established 10 'fixed' (yearlong) and 120 'rotating' (weeklong) monitoring sites to capture both the temporal and spatial patterns in Kigali's sound environment. The measurement occurred between November 2022 and December 2023, and samples were collected at 1 min interval, resulting in 5155 014 (3580 site-days) and 1190 620 (827 site-days) site-minutes of valid data from the fixed and rotating sites, respectively. The 130 monitoring sites covered a variety of geographic and land-use factors across diverse neighborhoods and sources. We computed several noise metrics, including 1 h (LAeq1 h), daily (LAeq24 h), day-time (L day), and night-time (L night). Daily noise (LAeq24 h) levels across the city ranged between 38 dBA and 85 dBA. Commercial, business, and industrial (CBI) and high-density residential (HD) communities experienced the highest noise levels, with some sites constantly above 70 dBA at day and 65 dBA at night. About 63% of our observed day-time values (up to ~72% in some areas) exceeded the Rwandan day-time standard (55 dBA) for residential areas, whereas 69% of the observed night-time values (up to 80% in some areas) exceeded the corresponding night-time standard (45 dBA). In Nyarugenge, the most urbanized district, as much as 75% of our site-days data exceeded day-time standard. However diurnal patterns throughout the city were similar, rising from ~5 am, peaking at about 8 am and plateauing until 6 pm before falling to their lowest at midnight. Overall, noise levels in the city did not vary much by day of the week, weekdays vs weekend, or dry vs wet seasons. Environmental noise in Kigali often exceeded both Rwandan standards and international guidelines, with residents in the city center district, CBI and HD areas at risk of higher exposure, and hence higher risk of adverse effects. Detailed assessment of the sources, at-risk population, and associated health effects may inform Rwandan's environmental policy efforts and city initiatives in the face of the ongoing urban growth and densification.

随着撒哈拉以南非洲的城市变得越来越拥挤,噪音污染也成为继空气污染之后的一个重要环境问题。然而,与受到更多公众关注的空气污染不同,环境噪声污染的测量数据和政策努力有限。我们采用了最近在阿克拉(加纳)使用的全市范围的测量方法,并对基加利的环境噪声模式进行了表征,基加利是一个与阿克拉截然不同的城市,其地形和监管体系与阿克拉截然不同,从而为城市政策提供信息。我们建立了10个“固定”(为期一年)和120个“旋转”(为期一周)监测点,以捕捉基加利声音环境的时空模式。测量时间为2022年11月至2023年12月,每隔1分钟采集一次样本,固定和旋转站点的有效数据分别为5155 014(3580站点日)和1190 620(827站点日)站点分钟。130个监测点涵盖了不同社区和来源的各种地理和土地利用因素。我们计算了几个噪声指标,包括1小时(LAeq1 h)、每天(LAeq24 h)、白天(L day)和夜间(L night)。整个城市的每日噪音(LAeq24小时)水平在38分贝到85分贝之间。商业、商业和工业(CBI)和高密度住宅(HD)社区经历了最高的噪音水平,一些场所在白天持续超过70 dBA,在晚上持续超过65 dBA。在我们观察到的居民区中,约63%的白天值(在某些地区高达72%)超过卢旺达白天标准(55 dBA),而69%的夜间值(在某些地区高达80%)超过相应的夜间标准(45 dBA)。在尼亚鲁热,城市化程度最高的地区,高达75%的站点日数据超过了日间标准。然而,整个城市的昼夜模式是相似的,从早上5点开始上升,在早上8点左右达到峰值,直到下午6点趋于平稳,然后在午夜降至最低。总体而言,城市的噪音水平在一周中的每一天、工作日与周末、旱季与雨季都没有太大变化。基加利的环境噪音经常超过卢旺达标准和国际准则,城市中心区、CBI和HD地区的居民暴露于噪音的风险更高,因此受到不利影响的风险也更高。对污染源、风险人群和相关健康影响的详细评估,可为卢旺达在面对持续的城市增长和密集化时的环境政策努力和城市举措提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal patterns of urban heat in indoor and outdoor microclimates. 室内外小气候下城市热量的时空格局
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae09bc
Yusuf Jamal, Courtney C Murdock, Rajendra Kumar Baharia, Rajesh Sharma, Keshav Vaishnav, Vikas Desai, Vijay Kohli, Ajeet Kumar Mohanty, Mercedes Pascual, Sachin Sharma, Anup Anvikar, Michael C Wimberly

As global temperatures rise due to climate change, urban heat islands have emerged as an important public health concern, significantly exacerbating heat stress in urban populations. Meteorological data is critical for assessing heat stress, and localized microclimate data provide more precise measurements of heat hazards than traditional weather station data. Our study explored microclimate patterns in space and time in tropical cities with rapidly growing urban populations and warming climates. We established a microclimate monitoring network with sensors measuring air temperature and relative humidity throughout two large cities in Gujarat, India. We collected hourly microclimate data on temperature and humidity from April 2023 to May 2024 from paired indoor/outdoor sensors at 48 homes in Ahmedabad and 45 homes in Surat. We summarized dry bulb (T) and wet-bulb (T w) temperatures at indoor and outdoor locations, compared temporal patterns across seasons and times of the day, and investigated relationships with urban land cover. Indoor and outdoor microclimates had different diurnal variations, with distinctive patterns during the monsoon compared to other seasons. Building volume had warming effects and vegetation had cooling effects on minimum T and T w, particularly at outdoor locations. In contrast, building volume had cooling effects and vegetation had warming effects on maximum T and T w, particularly at indoor locations. Temperatures were consistently cooler at locations with higher albedo, and relationships with water were weaker and more variable. A model comparison found significant differences in land cover effects for indoor versus outdoor locations. Given the increasing occurrence of heat waves and climate-related health threats in western India and other tropical areas, it will be essential to account for the different spatial and temporal patterns of indoor and outdoor microclimates to more precisely identify locations and timings of temperature extremes.

随着气候变化导致全球气温上升,城市热岛已成为一个重要的公共卫生问题,显著加剧了城市人口的热应激。气象数据对于评估热应激至关重要,局部小气候数据比传统气象站数据提供了更精确的热危害测量。本研究探讨了人口快速增长和气候变暖的热带城市的时空小气候模式。我们在印度古吉拉特邦的两个大城市建立了一个用传感器测量空气温度和相对湿度的小气候监测网络。我们从2023年4月至2024年5月收集了艾哈迈达巴德48个家庭和苏拉特45个家庭的成对室内/室外传感器的每小时温度和湿度小气候数据。我们总结了室内和室外地点的干球(T)和湿球(T)温度,比较了不同季节和一天中不同时间的时间模式,并研究了与城市土地覆盖的关系。室内和室外小气候具有不同的日变化,在季风季节与其他季节相比具有独特的模式。建筑体积在最小T和T w上具有增温效应,植被具有降温效应,尤其是在室外。相比之下,建筑体积对最大T和T w具有降温效应,植被对最大T和T w具有增温效应,特别是在室内位置。在反照率较高的地区,温度一直较低,与水的关系较弱,变化也更大。一项模型比较发现,室内和室外地点的土地覆盖效应存在显著差异。鉴于热浪和与气候有关的健康威胁在印度西部和其他热带地区日益增多,必须考虑到室内和室外小气候的不同时空格局,以便更精确地确定极端温度的地点和时间。
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引用次数: 0
High populations near fossil fuel energy infrastructure across the supply chain and implications for an equitable energy transition. 整个供应链中化石燃料能源基础设施附近的高人口及其对公平能源转型的影响。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-17 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae0da6
Jonathan J Buonocore, Fintan A Mooney, Erin J Campbell, Brian Sousa, Breanna van Loenen, M Patricia Fabian, Amruta Nori-Sarma, Mary D Willis

Fossil fuel energy infrastructure poses health risks for local communities, primarily due to the presence of air pollution emissions and other hazards. There is also evidence of racial/ethnic disparities in the siting of this infrastructure for select components. However, population counts and demographic composition near fossil fuel energy infrastructure have not been systematically characterized across all types, supply chain stages, and predominant fuel types. Here, we construct a dataset of 25 elements of fossil fuel energy infrastructure and characterize the populations living near this infrastructure (defined as within 800 m [∼0.5 mile] or 1.6 km [∼1 mile]). We estimated that 46.6 million people in the contiguous U.S., representing 14.1% of the population, live within 1.6 km of at least one piece of energy infrastructure, with racial/ethnic disparities observed across nearly all stages of the supply chain. End use infrastructure has the most people residing within 1.6 km, with 20.9 million people, followed by extraction (20.3 million), and storage (6.16 million). Storage infrastructure has an average of ∼2,900 people living within 1.6 km of each element; end use infrastructure has an average of 1,900 people residing within 1.6 km of each element; extraction infrastructure has an average of 17 people residing within 1.6 km of each element. Almost 90% of the population near end use, transportation, refining, and storage infrastructure are in urban areas. Our results represent a substantial population in the U.S. that is potentially exposed to hazards that are not well-characterized, with unknown cumulative impacts, and which constitute a major environmental justice issue.

化石燃料能源基础设施对当地社区构成健康风险,主要是由于存在空气污染排放和其他危害。也有证据表明,在选定组件的基础设施选址上存在种族/民族差异。然而,化石燃料能源基础设施附近的人口数量和人口构成尚未系统地表征所有类型、供应链阶段和主要燃料类型。在这里,我们构建了一个包含25个化石燃料能源基础设施要素的数据集,并描述了居住在该基础设施附近的人口(定义为800米[~ 0.5英里]或1.6公里[~ 1英里]范围内)。我们估计,美国本土有4660万人(占总人口的14.1%)居住在至少一个能源基础设施的1.6公里范围内,几乎在供应链的所有阶段都观察到种族/民族差异。最终使用基础设施的人口最多,居住在1.6公里范围内,有2090万人,其次是开采(2030万人)和储存(616万人)。存储基础设施平均有2900人居住在距离每个元素1.6公里的范围内;最终用途基础设施平均有1900人居住在每个元素的1.6公里范围内;开采基础设施平均有17人居住在每个元素1.6公里范围内。接近终端使用、运输、精炼和储存基础设施的人口中,几乎90%都在城市地区。我们的研究结果代表了美国的大量人口,他们潜在地暴露在没有很好表征的危害中,具有未知的累积影响,并构成了一个主要的环境正义问题。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing PM2.5 pollution in the Northeastern United States from the 2023 Canadian wildfire smoke: an episodic study integrating air quality and health impact modeling with emissions and meteorological uncertainty analysis. 从2023年加拿大野火烟雾中评估美国东北部的PM2.5污染:一项将空气质量和健康影响模型与排放和气象不确定性分析相结合的偶发研究。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae10c9
Hao He, Timothy P Canty, Russell R Dickerson, Joel Dreessen, Amir Sapkota, Michel Boudreaux

Between June 6 and 8, 2023, wildfires in Quebec, Canada generated massive smoke plumes that traveled long distances and deteriorated air quality across the Northeastern United States (US). Surface daily PM2.5 observations exceeded 100 µg m-3, affecting major cities such as New York City and Philadelphia, while many areas lacked PM2.5 monitors, making it difficult to assess local air quality conditions. To address this gap, we developed a WRF-CMAQ-BenMAP modeling system to provide rapid, spatially continuous estimates of wildfire-attributable PM2.5 concentrations and associated health impacts, particularly benefiting regions lacking air quality monitoring. CMAQ simulations driven by two wildfire emissions datasets and two meteorological drivers showed good agreement with PM2.5 observations, with linear regression results of R2 ∼0.6 and slope ∼0.9. We further quantified uncertainties introduced by varying emissions and meteorological drivers and found the choice of wildfire emissions dataset alone can alter PM2.5 simulations by up to 40 µg m-3 (∼40%). Short-term health impacts were evaluated using the BenMAP model. Validation against asthma-associated emergency department (ED) visits in New York State confirmed the framework's ability to replicate real-world outcomes, with ED visits increased up to ∼40%. The modeling results identified counties most severely affected by wildfire plumes, the majority of which lack regulatory air quality monitors. Our approach highlights the value of integrated modeling for identifying vulnerable populations and delivering timely health burden estimates, regardless of local monitoring availability.

在2023年6月6日至8日期间,加拿大魁北克的野火产生了大量的烟雾,这些烟雾传播了很长一段距离,并恶化了美国东北部的空气质量。地面每日PM2.5观测值超过100µg -3,影响到纽约市和费城等主要城市,而许多地区没有PM2.5监测仪,使当地空气质量状况难以评估。为了解决这一差距,我们开发了WRF-CMAQ-BenMAP建模系统,以提供野火导致的PM2.5浓度及其相关健康影响的快速、空间连续估计,特别是有利于缺乏空气质量监测的地区。由两个野火排放数据集和两个气象驱动因素驱动的CMAQ模拟结果与PM2.5观测值吻合良好,线性回归结果R2 ~ 0.6,斜率~ 0.9。我们进一步量化了不同排放和气象驱动因素带来的不确定性,发现仅野火排放数据集的选择就可以将PM2.5模拟值改变40µg -3(约40%)。使用BenMAP模型评估短期健康影响。对纽约州哮喘相关急诊科(ED)就诊的验证证实了该框架能够复制现实世界的结果,急诊科就诊增加了约40%。建模结果确定了受野火羽流影响最严重的县,其中大多数缺乏监管空气质量监测仪。我们的方法强调了综合建模在识别弱势群体和及时提供健康负担估计方面的价值,而不管当地是否有监测。
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引用次数: 0
Mortality risk and burden associated with non-optimum temperatures in Puerto Rico. 波多黎各与非最佳温度有关的死亡风险和负担。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-09 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae013e
Francisco Díaz-Collado, Lingzhi Chu, Daniel Carrión, Pablo A Méndez-Lázaro, Kai Chen

The effects of a changing climate are already evident in Caribbean small island developing states (SIDS) like Puerto Rico, where heat episodes have become more frequent. Despite reports of increasing heat-related death rates, robust epidemiological evidence on the health impacts of high temperatures, as well as the effects of low temperatures, remains scarce, particularly outside of urban settlements in Caribbean SIDS. In this study, we conducted a case time-series study on municipality-level mortality and temperature in Puerto Rico from 2015-2023. We modeled the relationship between daily mortality count and mean temperature using a conditional quasi-Poisson regression, combined with a distributed lag non-linear model (dlnm) with a 21 d lag, adjusting for relative humidity, seasonality, and day of the week. We estimated the minimum mortality temperature (MMT)-the optimal temperature associated with the lowest mortality risk-and calculated the relative risk associated with extreme low and high temperature, defined as the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of daily temperature. Additionally, we estimated the municipality- and island-level excess mortality fractions attributable to both low and high temperatures, relative to MMT. Our findings indicate that exposure to non-optimum temperatures (both low and high temperatures) is significantly associated with increased mortality risk. Specifically, extreme low temperature was associated with a 1.23 (95% CI: 1.07-1.40) times risk of all-cause mortality, while extreme high temperature was associated with a 1.16 (95% CI: 1.05-1.27) times risk. We estimated that temperature-related mortality accounted for 3.88% of the total 280 568 deaths (95% eCI: 3.39%-4.29%), with low temperatures contributing 2.02% (95% eCI: 1.69%-2.32%) and high temperatures contributing 1.86% (95% eCI: 1.35%-2.35%). Furthermore, we found substantial spatial variability in temperature-related mortality burdens across municipalities. Our study identifies the vulnerable municipalities to temperature-related deaths in Puerto Rico, providing evidence to inform municipality-specific climate adaptation and mitigation strategies.

气候变化的影响在加勒比海小岛屿发展中国家(SIDS)已经很明显,比如波多黎各,那里的高温事件变得更加频繁。尽管有报告说,与高温有关的死亡率在增加,但关于高温对健康的影响以及低温对健康的影响的有力流行病学证据仍然很少,特别是在加勒比小岛屿发展中国家的城市住区之外。在本研究中,我们对波多黎各2015-2023年市政级死亡率和温度进行了病例时间序列研究。我们利用条件准泊松回归,结合21 d滞后的分布滞后非线性模型(dlnm),对相对湿度、季节性和星期几进行了调整,建立了日死亡率与平均温度之间的关系模型。我们估计了最低死亡温度(MMT)——与最低死亡风险相关的最佳温度——并计算了与极低温和极高温相关的相对风险,定义为每日温度的第2.5和97.5%。此外,我们估计了相对于MMT而言,由低温和高温引起的市级和岛级超额死亡率。我们的研究结果表明,暴露于非最佳温度(低温和高温)与死亡风险增加显著相关。具体来说,极端低温与1.23倍(95% CI: 1.07-1.40)的全因死亡率相关,而极端高温与1.16倍(95% CI: 1.05-1.27)的全因死亡率相关。在280568例死亡中,温度相关死亡率占3.88% (95% eCI: 3.39% ~ 4.29%),其中低温占2.02% (95% eCI: 1.69% ~ 2.32%),高温占1.86% (95% eCI: 1.35% ~ 2.35%)。此外,我们发现各城市与温度相关的死亡率负担存在显著的空间差异。我们的研究确定了波多黎各易受温度相关死亡影响的城市,为城市特定的气候适应和缓解战略提供了证据。
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引用次数: 0
Projected population exposure to dangerous heat stress around Lake Victoria under a high-end climate change scenario. 在高端气候变化情景下,预计维多利亚湖周围人口暴露于危险的热应激。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-10-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ae05b1
Delphine Ramon, Clare Heaviside, Oscar Brousse, Charles Simpson, Irene Amuron, Eddie Wasswa Jjemba, Jonas Van de Walle, Wim Thiery, Nicole P M van Lipzig

Recent global temperature increases and extreme heat events have raised concerns about their impact on health, particularly in vulnerable regions like Africa. This study assesses future heat stress and population exposure in the Lake Victoria region under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 climate change scenario, using a convection-permitting climate model, heat stress indices (humidex and heat index), and high-resolution population projections under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario, interpreted here as the high-end of the climate change signal. Results indicate a substantial increase in the duration of dangerous heat stress. By the end of the century, up to 122 million people, or around 44 % of the population may experience dangerous heat stress for more than 5 % of the time annually (i.e. ∼18 days), compared to 1 % of the population or around 1 million people for the period 2005-2016. Up to 28 % of the population (∼78 million people) would even experience dangerous heat for 15 % of the time (i.e. ∼55 days). 66 % of this increased population exposure can be attributed to the combined effect of increasing temperatures and total population in the region. High heat-risk areas include the northern and southern shores of Lake Victoria and urban areas. The study highlights the need to consider both climate and population dynamics when assessing heat stress, and underscores the urgency of adaptation in the Lake Victoria region.

最近全球气温升高和极端高温事件引发了人们对其对健康影响的担忧,特别是在非洲等脆弱地区。本研究利用高排放SSP5-8.5情景下的对流气候模式、热应力指数(humidex和heat index)和高分辨率人口预估,评估了高排放SSP5-8.5情景下维多利亚湖地区未来的热应力和人口暴露,并将其解释为气候变化信号的高端。结果表明,危险的热应激持续时间大幅增加。到本世纪末,多达1.22亿人,即约44%的人口,每年可能有超过5%的时间(即18天)经历危险的热应激,而2005-2016年期间,这一比例为1%,约为100万人。高达28%的人口(约7800万人)甚至有15%的时间(即约55天)会经历危险的高温。66%的人口暴露增加可归因于气温升高和该地区总人口的综合影响。高温高风险地区包括维多利亚湖的北部和南部海岸以及城市地区。该研究强调了在评估热应激时需要考虑气候和人口动态,并强调了适应维多利亚湖地区的紧迫性。
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引用次数: 0
Critical window of gestational greenspace exposure for the risk of low birth weight. 妊娠期绿地暴露对低出生体重风险的关键窗口期。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adf86b
Seulkee Heo, Kelvin C Fong, Ji-Young Son, Michelle L Bell

Many studies link average residential greenspace exposure during pregnancy to birthweight changes, but evidence on critical timing for low birthweight is limited. Furthermore, coarse aggregations of exposure levels throughout pregnancy may obscure complex exposure-response relationships. This case-control study using the birth data (n = 788,275) in three US states examined the associations between the ZIP code-level weekly enhanced vegetation index (EVI) levels during gestational weeks 0-39 and term low birthweight (TLBW). The logistic regression with distributed lag non-linear functions, adjusted for maternal characteristics and season, estimated odds ratios (OR) of TLBW per interquartile range increase (0.200) in weekly EVI. Week-specific ORs showed an inverted U-shape. Significant ORs were observed in weeks 0-7 and 30-39, ranging from 0.989 (95% CI: 0.978-0.999) to 0.996 (95% CI: 0.992-1.000). Results highlight the importance of higher greenspace exposure in early and late pregnancy for reducing TLBW risk, informing policy and future research.

许多研究将怀孕期间平均居住绿地暴露与出生体重变化联系起来,但关于低出生体重关键时间的证据有限。此外,怀孕期间暴露水平的粗略汇总可能会模糊复杂的暴露-反应关系。本病例对照研究使用了美国三个州的出生数据(n = 788,275),研究了妊娠0-39周期间邮政编码水平的每周增强植被指数(EVI)水平与足月低出生体重(TLBW)之间的关系。采用分布滞后非线性函数logistic回归,调整了母亲特征和季节,估计TLBW每四分位数范围的优势比(OR)在每周EVI中增加(0.200)。周特异性or呈倒u型。在0-7周和30-39周观察到显著的or,范围为0.989 (95% CI: 0.978-0.999)至0.996 (95% CI: 0.992-1.000)。研究结果强调了妊娠早期和晚期较高的绿色空间暴露对于降低TLBW风险的重要性,为政策和未来的研究提供了信息。
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引用次数: 0
Advancing new metrics for wildfire smoke exposure: case study in Alaska to bridge public health, climate adaptation, and fire management. 推进野火烟雾暴露的新指标:阿拉斯加的案例研究,以桥梁公共卫生,气候适应和火灾管理。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adeff6
Micah B Hahn, Nelsha R Athauda, Zhiwei Dong, Melissa Bradley, Jingqiu Mao, Loretta J Mickley

Wildfire activity is increasing globally due to climate change, with implications for air quality and public health. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) from wildfire smoke contributes to cardiorespiratory morbidity and mortality, adverse birth outcomes, mental health stressors, and disruptions to food security and traditional livelihoods. However, quantifying health risks remains difficult due to sparse monitoring, challenges in isolating wildfire-specific pollution, and limited long-term exposure assessments. We developed a historical air quality dataset for Alaska using a hybrid approach that integrates GEOS-Chem atmospheric modeling with ground-based data to estimate daily wildfire-attributable PM2.5 at a 0.625° × 0.5° resolution from 2003 to 2020. We aggregated these estimates by census tract and derived metrics to quantify long-term wildfire smoke exposure, then combined these estimates with social vulnerability data to identify populations disproportionately affected. Alaskans experienced an average of 3.5 million person-days of moderate and >800 000 person-days of dense smoke exposure annually. In years when over 2 million acres burned, 86%-98% of census tracts recorded at least 1 d of moderate smoke, and up to 73% experienced dense smoke. Northern Interior Alaska had over 300 cumulative days of poor air quality (∼10% of summer days) over the 18 year period, with smoke waves lasting as long as 43 d. Tracts identified as having high smoke exposure and high smoke vulnerability were generally in rural Interior Alaska; however, urban tracts in Interior and Southcentral were also identified. High-exposure census tracts had statistically greater proportions of housing cost-burdened residents and women of childbearing age. This study highlights the need to move beyond traditional fire metrics and adopt measures that better capture the full scope of human exposure. Our approach provides a framework for assessing health risks and integrating public health into climate adaptation and fire management especially in wildfire-prone regions where observations are sparse.

由于气候变化,全球野火活动正在增加,对空气质量和公众健康产生影响。野火烟雾中的细颗粒物(PM2.5)会导致心肺疾病发病率和死亡率、不良出生结果、精神健康压力源以及对粮食安全和传统生计的破坏。然而,由于监测不足、隔离野火特定污染方面的挑战以及有限的长期暴露评估,量化健康风险仍然很困难。我们使用混合方法开发了阿拉斯加的历史空气质量数据集,该方法将GEOS-Chem大气建模与地面数据相结合,以0.625°× 0.5°的分辨率估计2003年至2020年期间每日因野火引起的PM2.5。我们通过人口普查区汇总这些估计,并推导出量化长期野火烟雾暴露的指标,然后将这些估计与社会脆弱性数据相结合,以确定不成比例地受到影响的人群。阿拉斯加人每年平均有350万人日暴露在中度和80万人日的浓烟中。在200多万英亩土地被烧毁的年份,86%-98%的人口普查区记录了至少1天的中度烟雾,高达73%的人口普查区经历了浓烟。在18年的时间里,阿拉斯加北部内陆有超过300天的累积空气质量差(约占夏季天数的10%),烟波持续时间长达43天。被确定为高烟雾暴露和高烟雾脆弱性的地区通常位于阿拉斯加内陆农村;然而,内陆和中南部的城市区域也被确定。高暴露人口普查区的住房成本负担居民和育龄妇女在统计上的比例更高。这项研究强调需要超越传统的火灾度量标准,并采取更好地捕捉人类暴露的全部范围的措施。我们的方法为评估健康风险和将公共卫生纳入气候适应和火灾管理提供了一个框架,特别是在观测稀少的野火易发地区。
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引用次数: 0
Does greenspace influence the associations between ambient temperature and violent crime? An observational study. 绿色空间是否影响环境温度与暴力犯罪之间的联系?一项观察性研究。
IF 5.6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/adef6a
Seulkee Heo, Hayon Michelle Choi, Scott W Delaney, Peter James, Michelle L Bell

Despite the growing evidence on the associations between greenspace and violent crime, there is a lack of research on the urban greenspace's influence on the associations between ambient temperature and violent crime. This observational study examined the risk differences by community's greenspace level using various greenspace indicators. Our time-series analysis modeled the associations between daily mean temperature (°C) over two lag days (lag0-1) and daily counts of violent crime during summer (May-September) in each ZIP code in Chicago, IL (2001-2023), adjusting for confounding factors. Our random-effects meta analysis analyzed estimated the pooled relative risk (RR) at the 80th summer temperature percentile compared to the reference temperature (10th percentile) across the ZIP codes. Our meta-regressions analyzed how the ZIP code-specific relative risks (RRs) differ by the number of parks, sum of park areas, percentage of vegetated area, percentage of recreational vegetated area, vegetation density (30 m), percent tree coverage, and percent street-level tree coverage aggregated at the ZIP code level. A total of 1075 959 counts of violent crime were included in our analysis. We found 8% (95% CI: 7%-10%) higher risk of violent crime incidents when the daily mean temperature was at the 80th percentile (25.9 °C) compared to the reference temperature (8.6 °C). The pooled RR was significantly lower in ZIP codes with the highest vegetation density (RR = 1.085 [95% CI: 1.040-1.131]) compared to those with the lowest vegetated density (RR = 1.124 [1.088-1.162]). The RR was significantly lower in ZIP codes with the highest percentage of tree coverage (RR = 1.088 [1.046-1.132]) compared to the ZIP codes with the lowest percentage of tree coverage (RR = 1.123 [1.086-1.162]). The observed results indicate that greenspace can be beneficial in reducing the associations between heat and violent crime. The results should be considered in urban greenery planning and policies to reduce violent crime.

尽管越来越多的证据表明绿地与暴力犯罪之间存在关联,但关于城市绿地对环境温度与暴力犯罪之间关联的影响的研究却很少。本观察性研究使用不同的绿地指标考察了不同社区绿地水平的风险差异。我们的时间序列分析模拟了两个滞后日(lag0-1)的日平均温度(°C)与伊利诺斯州芝加哥市(2001-2023)每个邮政编码夏季(5月至9月)每日暴力犯罪数量之间的关系,并对混杂因素进行了调整。我们的随机效应荟萃分析分析了在整个邮政编码的第80个夏季温度百分位数与参考温度(第10个百分位数)相比的综合相对风险(RR)。我们的元回归分析了邮政编码特定相对风险(rr)如何因公园数量、公园面积总和、植被面积百分比、休闲植被面积百分比、植被密度(30米)、树木覆盖率百分比和邮政编码级别街道树木覆盖率百分比的不同而不同。我们的分析中总共包含了1075 959起暴力犯罪。我们发现,与参考温度(8.6°C)相比,当日平均温度为第80个百分位数(25.9°C)时,暴力犯罪事件的风险高出8% (95% CI: 7%-10%)。植被密度最高的邮政编码区(RR = 1.085 [95% CI: 1.040 ~ 1.131])的综合RR显著低于植被密度最低的邮政编码区(RR = 1.124[1.088 ~ 1.162])。树木覆盖率最高的邮政编码区(RR = 1.088[1.046-1.132])的相对危险度显著低于树木覆盖率最低的邮政编码区(RR = 1.123[1.086-1.162])。观察到的结果表明,绿地有助于减少高温与暴力犯罪之间的联系。研究结果应在城市绿化规划和减少暴力犯罪的政策中加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Research Letters
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