超导技术在电力行业的应用:政府补贴政策与电力公司设备升级决策的博弈论分析

Mingyang Li, Maoqin Yuan, Han Pengsihua, Yuan Yuan, Zejun Wang
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摘要

本研究探讨了韩国研究团队开发的新型材料 "LK-99 "对电力设备行业的潜在影响。利用革命博弈论,对政府补贴与电力公司采用技术之间的相互作用进行了建模。这项研究的一个重要创新是引入了有关时间延迟和初始补贴金额的敏感性分析,这些因素对政府和企业实体的战略决策都有重大影响。研究结果表明,这些因素对于决定技术采用率和整个市场的效率至关重要。由于现有数据的限制,本研究对可能的趋势进行了概括,并建议在材料显示出室温超导特性后,纳入真实世界的数据,以进行更精确的建模。这项研究为未来的政策设计提供了有价值的基础性见解,并对促进对技术采用和市场动态的理解具有重要意义。
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Application of Superconducting Technology in the Electricity Industry: A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Government Subsidy Policies and Power Company Equipment Upgrade Decisions
This study investigates the potential impact of "LK-99," a novel material developed by a Korean research team, on the power equipment industry. Using evolutionary game theory, the interactions between governmental subsidies and technology adoption by power companies are modeled. A key innovation of this research is the introduction of sensitivity analyses concerning time delays and initial subsidy amounts, which significantly influence the strategic decisions of both government and corporate entities. The findings indicate that these factors are critical in determining the rate of technology adoption and the efficiency of the market as a whole. Due to existing data limitations, the study offers a broad overview of likely trends and recommends the inclusion of real-world data for more precise modeling once the material demonstrates room-temperature superconducting characteristics. The research contributes foundational insights valuable for future policy design and has significant implications for advancing the understanding of technology adoption and market dynamics.
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