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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文探讨了印度的财政和货币政策协调如何稳定宏观经济基本面。我们考虑了两种协调的财政和货币政策体制,即 "印度财政"(IF)和 "M "体制,然后研究了公共支出(PE)冲击在这两种体制之间的传导。IF 体制下的货币政策通过降低利率支持财政政策稳定债务。M 机制下的财政政策通过财政整顿来支持货币政策抑制通货膨胀。IF 体制更有利于印度经济,因为 PE 刺激措施会加速经济活动,但不会导致高通胀和高债务。相比之下,M 机制对 PE 刺激产生了挤出效应,同时恶化了政府的财政空间。研究结果表明,在印度的情况下,货币当局应保持对PE刺激政策的宽松立场。
Fiscal and monetary policy regimes: New evidence from India
The paper examines how fiscal and monetary policy coordination in India stabilizes macroeconomic fundamentals. We consider two coordinating fiscal and monetary policy regimes, the “Indian Fiscal” (IF) and M regime and then examine the transmission of public expenditure (PE) shock across these regimes. Monetary policy in the IFregime supports fiscal policy in debt stabilization by reducing interest rates. The M regime fiscal policy supports monetary policy in curbing inflation through fiscal consolidation drives. The IF regime is more conducive to the Indian economy as PE stimulus accelerates economic activity without causing high inflationary and high debt scenarios. In contrast, the M regime has a crowding out effect on PE stimulus while worsening the government's fiscal space. The findings indicate that in the Indian case, the monetary authority should maintain its accommodative stance on PE stimulus.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.