基于随机森林机器学习法的公平电力并网成本分摊模型

IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2024.101807
Li Xie , Chun Kong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

发展中国家在改革用电价格政策时应明确专用并网成本分摊模式,这一点可以借鉴发达国家的经验。我们利用随机森林法和美国、英国等多个发达国家或地区2018-2020年的月度数据,找出影响决策者选择专用并网成本分摊模式的关键特征,并利用省级数据模拟出适合中国各地区的并网成本分摊模式。为中国和其他发展中国家实施接网价格政策改革提供了经验和启示。
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A fair grid connection cost-sharing model for electricity based on the random forest machine learning method

Developing countries should clarify the dedicated grid connection cost-sharing model when reforming electricity user price policy, which could be learned from developed countries’ experiences. We use the random forest method and monthly data from several developed countries or regions, including the United States and the United Kingdom in 2018–2020, to identify key features that influence decision-makers in choosing dedicated grid connection cost-sharing models and simulate the connection cost-sharing models suitable for various regions of China using provincial data. It provides experience and enlightenment for China and other developing countries to implement the connection price policy reform.

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来源期刊
Utilities Policy
Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
10.00%
发文量
94
审稿时长
66 days
期刊介绍: Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.
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