基于博弈论的社区意识舆论动态

Shanfan Zhang, Xiaoting Shen, Zhan Bu
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摘要

现实世界的社会系统由无数个体组成,研究现实世界中意见形成和演变的内在机制,可以为有效的社会运作和明智的商业决策提供有价值的见解。我们的研究重点是网络多代理系统中的意见动态。我们提供了一种名为 "基于博弈论的社群意识意见形成过程"(GCAOFP)的新方法,以准确呈现现实世界社会系统中社群和意见的共同演化动态。GCAOFP 算法的每次迭代包括两个不同的步骤。1) 社群动态过程将社群形成过程概念化为一个涉及有限数量代理的非合作博弈。每个个体代理的目标都是通过采取最有利的社区标签更新反应来最大化自己的效用。2) 观点形成过程涉及在社区感知框架内更新个体代理的观点,该框架包含有界置信度。这一过程会考虑到社区成员的更新矩阵,并确保代理的观点在一定范围内与社区内其他人的观点保持一致。本研究从理论上证明,在任何初始条件下,上述共同进化动力学过程最终都会达到平衡状态。在这种状态下,意见向量和社群成员矩阵都会在有限的迭代次数后趋于稳定。与传统的舆论动力学模型不同的是,保证同一社区内代理舆论的收敛性确保了舆论的收敛只发生在特定社区内。
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Game Theory Based Community-Aware Opinion Dynamics
Examining the mechanisms underlying the formation and evolution of opinions within real-world social systems, which consist of numerous individuals, can provide valuable insights for effective social functioning and informed business decision making. The focus of our study is on the dynamics of opinions inside a networked multi-agent system. We provide a novel approach called the Game Theory Based Community-Aware Opinion Formation Process (GCAOFP) to accurately represent the co-evolutionary dynamics of communities and opinions in real-world social systems. The GCAOFP algorithm comprises two distinct steps in each iteration. 1) The Community Dynamics Process conceptualizes the process of community formation as a non-cooperative game involving a finite number of agents. Each individual agent aims to maximize their own utility by adopting a response that leads to the most favorable update of the community label. 2) The Opinion Formation Process involves the updating of an individual agent's opinion within a community-aware framework that incorporates bounded confidence. This process takes into account the updated matrix of community members and ensures that an agent's opinion aligns with the opinions of others within their community, within certain defined limits. The present study provides a theoretical proof that under any initial conditions, the aforementioned co-evolutionary dynamics process will ultimately reach an equilibrium state. In this state, both the opinion vector and community member matrix will stabilize after a finite number of iterations. In contrast to conventional opinion dynamics models, the guaranteed convergence of agent opinion within the same community ensures that the convergence of opinions takes place exclusively inside a given community.
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