利用多标准决策分析评估印度柴油发电替代技术

Ajit Singh , Amruta Joshi , Francis D. Pope , Bhim Singh , Mukesh Khare , Sri Harsha Kota , Jonathan Radcliffe
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摘要

在印度,企业和家庭用户广泛使用柴油发电机(DGs),以应对不可靠的电力供应,但柴油发电机对环境和健康有严重的负面影响。柴油发电机的低碳替代品越来越广泛,价格也越来越低廉,但技术和非技术方面的障碍仍然阻碍着它们的广泛应用。有针对性的政策和财政干预措施将有助于加快这些替代品的部署,而这些干预措施应基于当地需求。为此,我们采用了多标准决策分析(MCDA)方法,为印度住宅、工业和农业应用中的 DGs 确定合适的替代技术。在这项研究中,MCDA 框架通过与当地利益相关者进行结构化讨论,促进了循证决策,并从各种可用替代方案中评估出最合适的方案。总体而言,我们的分析得出结论,认为太阳能光伏发电与电池储能系统相结合的混合系统最适合住宅、农业和工业应用。这项研究为决策者提供了一种务实的方法,帮助他们考虑如何最大限度地减少可再生能源发电机的不利影响,同时认识到地方层面不同应用需求的复杂性。此外,我们的方法还展示了如何在决策过程中共同创造潜在的解决方案和实现过程的 "透明度",这对于更广泛地接受干预措施至关重要。
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Evaluating alternative technologies to diesel generation in India using multi-criteria decision analysis

Diesel generators (DGs) are widely used in India by business and domestic consumers to provide resilience against unreliable power supplies, but have serious adverse environmental and health impacts. Low carbon alternatives to DGs are becoming more widely available and affordable, though technical and non-technical barriers remain to their widespread adoption. Targeted policy and financial interventions would help accelerate the deployment of these alternatives, where such interventions should be based on local needs. To this end, we use a Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approach to identify appropriate technology alternatives for DGs in residential, industrial and agricultural applications in India. Within this study, the MCDA framework facilitates evidence-based decision-making through structured discussions with local stakeholders and for evaluating the most suitable option from a variety of available alternatives. Overall, our analysis concluded that a hybrid system combining solar PV and battery storage system are considered most suitable for residential, agricultural as well as industrial applications. This study sets out a pragmatic approach for decision makers considering how to minimise the adverse impacts of DGs while recognising the intricacies of requirements of different applications at a local level. Additionally, our approach showcases how co-creation of potential solutions, and ‘transparency’ in the process, can be accomplished in policy-making, which is critical for wider acceptance of interventions.

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