[The analysis of need in medical care of elder able-bodied women with diseases of blood circulation system].

The purpose of the study is to analyze demand in medical care at diseases of circulatory system in women in age groups of 50-64 years old. The database of cases of medical care support of population age groups 50-64 years (the database of calls of Territorial Foundation of Mandatory Medical Insurance of the Moscow region) was used as primary information source. After correlation analysis of dependencies between indicators of demand in modeling, four indicators were left, three of them were volumetric and one frequency. Three blocks were used as basic causes included in Class IX "Diseases of the circulatory system" (ICD-10 version 2014-2016): 1. I10-I15 (Hypertensive diseases [Diseases characterized by high blood pressure]); 2. I20-I25 (Coronary heart disease); 3. I60-I69 (Cerebrovascular diseases). The study demonstrated that dynamics of frequency and volume indicators of medical care demand among women in age groups of 50-64 years testifies that in age range of 50-60 years there is linear or close to linear increase of demand, after which trend of increasing demand changed to downward one. The data obtained testify that age (as variable) explains considerable proportion of all fluctuations of volume of medical care in demand in women of 50-64 years. This result can be considered quite satisfactory for applying proposed model in planning volumes of medical care. It is noted that decreasing of demand increase rate is observed at age of termination of employment of majority of female population.