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摘要

文章介绍了2014-2022年俄罗斯联邦、伏尔加联邦区、乌德穆尔特共和国、基洛夫州和巴什科尔托斯坦共和国15-17岁儿童发病率的分析结果。根据研究数据,俄罗斯联邦的一般和主要检测(初级)发病率将分别增加 24.0%(从 229468.3 人增至 231505.5 人)和 22.3%(从 143109.3 人增至 149143.8 人)。在发病率结构中,肥胖症(分别为 24.0%和 27.8%)、糖尿病(分别为 30.9%和 32.8%)和 I 型糖尿病(分别为 31.9%和 30.8%)等疾病的发病率增幅最大。研究使用了俄罗斯 Minzdrav 卫生组织和信息学中央研究所关于一般发病率和主要发现的(原发性)发病率的统计报告数据。研究确定了俄罗斯联邦的一般发病率和主要检测到的发病率。然而,与 2014 年相比,2027 年的总发病率下降了 8.3%,主要检测到的(初级)发病率下降了 5.2%。由于对 2027 年俄罗斯联邦发病率的预测不乐观,需要对 15-17 岁儿童进行进一步的科学研究,以便根据地区特点,在人口、群体和个人层面制定预防措施。
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[The trends in morbidity of children aged 15-17 years: problems and actual challenges].

The article presents results of analysis of morbidity rates in children aged 15-17 years in the Russian Federation, the Volga Federal Okrug, the Udmurt Republic, the Kirov Oblast and the Republic of Bashkortostan in 2014-2022. According to research data, in the Russian Federation there is an increase of general and primarily detected (primary) morbidity by 24.0% (from 229,468.3 to 231,505.5) and by 22.3% (from 143,109.3 to 149,143.8), respectively. In the morbidity structure, the greatest increase was noted for such diseases as obesity (24.0 and 27.8%, respectively), diabetes mellitus (30.9 and 32.8%, respectively) and diabetes mellitus type I (31.9 and 30.8%, respectively). The data of statistical reports on general and primarily detected (primary) morbidity of the Central Research Institute for Health Organization and Informatics of Minzdrav of Russia were used. The study established general and primarily detected morbidity in the Russian Federation. However, forecast for 2027, as compared with 2014, is marked by decline of total morbidity by 8.3% and primarily detected (primary) morbidity by 5.2%. Due to the unfavorable forecast for morbidity in the Russian Federation for 2027, further scientific studies are needed concerning children aged 15-17 years in order to develop preventive measures at population, group and individual levels, considering regional characteristics.

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