加纳北部卫星和再分析数据与地面观测数据的比较分析

IF 2.3 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Meteorological Applications Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI:10.1002/met.2226
Josephine Thywill Katsekpor, Klaus Greve, Edmund Ilimoan Yamba, Ebenezer Gyampoh Amoah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确预测河流流量和洪水事件取决于可靠的水文气象数据。在缺乏地面水文气象观测数据的地区,卫星和再分析数据作为替代预测工具的作用尤为突出。洪水和干旱已成为加纳北部的一个重大问题,但地面水文气象数据的匮乏阻碍了对这些水文事件的有效预测。因此,确定合适的代用水文气象数据对于应对这些挑战至关重要。因此,本研究对照加纳北部的地面数据,评估了卫星和再分析数据的准确性。从 GMet、ISMN(地面)、CHIRPS、PERSIANN-CDR、ERA5、ARC2、MERRA-2、TRMM 和 CFSR(卫星和再分析)收集了 1998 年至 2019 年的降雨量和平均气温数据集以及 2019 年至 2022 年的土壤水分数据集。采用严格的统计方法,即标准偏差、平均绝对误差(MAE)和平均偏差误差(MBE),对这些数据集的准确性进行了全面评估。结果表明,CHIRPS 和 PERSIANN-CDR 在降雨模拟方面表现出更高的精度,其中 CHIRPS 与观测数据的一致性尤为突出。在平均气温预测方面,ERA5 超过了 MERRA-2 和 CFSR。在土壤水分评估方面,ERA5 和 CFSR 的模拟结果都令人满意。因此,我们的研究结果表明,在加纳北部,CHIRPS(降雨数据)、ERA5(温度数据)和 CFSR/ERA5 组合(土壤水分数据)是进行溪流建模、干旱分析、洪水预测和水资源管理的可靠主要数据源。
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Comparative analysis of satellite and reanalysis data with ground-based observations in Northern Ghana

Accurate predictions of streamflow and flood events are contingent upon the availability of reliable hydrometeorological data. In regions characterized by scarcity of ground-based hydrometeorological observations, satellite and reanalysis data assume prominence as alternative predictors. Floods and droughts have emerged as a significant concern in Northern Ghana, yet the scarcity of ground-based hydrometeorological data impedes effective prediction of these hydrological events. Consequently, the identification of suitable surrogate hydrometeorological data holds paramount importance in addressing these challenges. This study, therefore, assessed the accuracy of satellite and reanalysis data against ground-based data in Northern Ghana. Rainfall and mean temperature spanning from 1998 to 2019 and soil moisture datasets from 2019 to 2022 were collected from GMet, ISMN (ground-based), CHIRPS, PERSIANN-CDR, ERA5, ARC2, MERRA-2, TRMM and CFSR (satellite and reanalysis). Employing rigorous statistical measures, namely standard deviation, mean absolute error (MAE) and mean bias error (MBE), the accuracy of these datasets was thoroughly evaluated. The results revealed that CHIRPS and PERSIANN-CDR exhibited superior accuracy in rainfall simulation, with CHIRPS demonstrating particularly consistent congruence with observed data. In terms of mean temperature prediction, ERA5 surpassed MERRA-2 and CFSR. Regarding soil moisture assessments, both ERA5 and CFSR offered satisfactory simulations. Hence, our findings advocate for the preference of CHIRPS (for rainfall data), ERA5 (for temperature data) and a combination of CFSR/ERA5 (for soil moisture data) as dependable primary data sources for streamflow modelling, drought analysis, flood prediction and water resource management in the context of Northern Ghana.

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来源期刊
Meteorological Applications
Meteorological Applications 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
3.70%
发文量
62
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The aim of Meteorological Applications is to serve the needs of applied meteorologists, forecasters and users of meteorological services by publishing papers on all aspects of meteorological science, including: applications of meteorological, climatological, analytical and forecasting data, and their socio-economic benefits; forecasting, warning and service delivery techniques and methods; weather hazards, their analysis and prediction; performance, verification and value of numerical models and forecasting services; practical applications of ocean and climate models; education and training.
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