Seasonal and vertical patterns of water availability and variability determine plant reproductive phenology.

Background and aims: Changing precipitation regimes can influence terrestrial plants and ecosystems. However, plant phenological responses to changing precipitation temporal patterns and the underlying mechanisms are largely unclear. This study was conducted to explore the effects of seasonal precipitation redistribution on plant reproductive phenology in a temperate steppe.

Methods: A field experiment with control (C), advanced (AP) and delayed (DP) growing-season precipitation peaks, and the combination of AP and DP (ADP) were employed. Seven dominant plant species were selected and divided into two functional groups (early- vs. middle-flowering species, shallow- vs. deep-rooted species) to monitor reproductive phenology including budding, flowering, and fruiting date, as well as reproductive duration for four growing seasons from 2015 to 2017, and 2022.

Key results: The AP, but not DP treatment advanced the phenological (i.e., budding, flowering, and fruiting) dates and lengthened the reproductive duration across the 4 growing seasons and 7 monitored species. In addition, the phenological responses showed divergent patterns among different plant functional groups, which could be attributed to shifts in soil moisture and its variability in different months and soil depths. Moreover, species with lengthened reproductive duration increased phenological overlap with other species, which could have a negative impact on their dominance under the AP treatment.

Conclusions: Our findings reveal that changing precipitation seasonality could have considerable impacts on plant phenology by affecting soil water availability and variability. Incorporating these two factors simultaneously in the phenology models will help us understand the response of plant phenology under intensified changing precipitation scenarios. In addition, the observations of decreased dominance for the species with lengthened reproductive duration suggest that changing reproductive phenology can have a potential to affect community composition in grasslands under global change.