Molly E Contini, Jeffrey R Spence, David J Stanley
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引用次数: 0
摘要
研究人员和从业人员通常都熟悉描述性统计和统计推断。然而,在回归技术之外,人们可能很少关注与预测有关的问题。在本文中,我们使用描述性和推断性统计培训中学到的基本概念(即抽样误差、标准偏差)来介绍预测区间。我们用简单的手工计算举例说明,并参考了一个可用于计算预测区间的简单 R 软件包。
Introducing prediction intervals for sample means.
Researchers and practitioners are typically familiar with descriptive statistics and statistical inference. However, outside of regression techniques, little attention may be given to questions around prediction. In the current paper, we introduce prediction intervals using fundamental concepts that are learned in descriptive and inferential statistical training (i.e., sampling error, standard deviation). We walk through an example using simple hand calculations and reference a simple R package that can be used to calculate prediction intervals.