立陶宛与 COVID-19 有关的全国封锁对与酒精有关的交通碰撞、伤亡事故的影响。

IF 2.7 Q2 SUBSTANCE ABUSE Alcohol (Hanover, York County, Pa.) Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI:10.1111/acer.15429
Shannon Lange, Huan Jiang, Laura Miščikienė, Alexander Tran, Mindaugas Štelemėkas, Jürgen Rehm
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:世界各地为应对 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行而采取的全国封锁措施已被发现对酒精的使用产生了影响。本研究旨在评估与 COVID-19 相关的国家禁酒令对立陶宛与酒精相关的交通碰撞、伤亡事故的影响:利用立陶宛道路警察局提供的 2004 年 1 月至 2022 年 12 月的月度数据,我们使用广义加法模型进行了间断时间序列分析,以评估与 COVID-19 相关的国家禁酒令对与酒精相关的交通碰撞、受伤和死亡事故的影响。立陶宛于 2020 年 3 月至 2020 年 6 月和 2020 年 11 月至 2021 年 6 月实施了与 COVID-19 相关的禁酒令:尽管在立陶宛与 COVID-19 相关的封锁期间,交通碰撞和受伤的总体比率有所下降,但这些封锁与酒精相关的交通碰撞相对比例增加了 3.21%(95% CI:1.19%,5.23%),与酒精相关的交通受伤相对比例增加了 2.46%(95% CI:0.12%,4.80%)。封锁与酒精相关交通死亡事故之间的联系在统计学上并不显著:立陶宛与 COVID-19 相关的全国禁酒令降低了交通碰撞和伤害的总体发生率,但增加了与酒精相关的交通碰撞和伤害的相对比例。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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The impact of COVID-19-related national lockdowns on alcohol-related traffic collisions, injuries, and fatalities in Lithuania

Background

The national lockdowns that occurred all over the world in response to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic have been found to have impacted alcohol use. The aim was to evaluate the impact of COVID-19-related national lockdowns on alcohol-related traffic collisions, injuries, and fatalities in Lithuania.

Methods

Using monthly data from the Lithuanian Road Police Service for January 2004 to December 2022, we performed interrupted time-series analyses using a generalized additive model to evaluate the impact of COVID-19-related national lockdowns on alcohol-related traffic collisions, injuries, and fatalities. In Lithuania, the COVID-19-related lockdowns occurred from March 2020 to June 2020 and from November 2020 to June 2021.

Results

Although overall rates for traffic collisions and injuries decreased during the COVID-19-related lockdowns in Lithuania, these lockdowns were associated with a 3.21% (95% CI: 1.19%, 5.23%) increase in the relative proportion of alcohol-related traffic collisions and a 2.46% (95% CI: 0.12%, 4.80%) increase in the relative proportion of alcohol-related traffic injuries. The association between the lockdowns and alcohol-related traffic fatalities was not statistically significant.

Conclusion

The COVID-19-related national lockdowns in Lithuania were associated with a decrease in the overall rate of traffic collisions and injuries, but an increase in the relative proportion of alcohol-related traffic collisions and injuries.

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