全球沿海城市在适应气候变化方面取得的进展和存在的差距

Mia Wannewitz, Idowu Ajibade, Katharine J. Mach, Alexandre Magnan, Jan Petzold, Diana Reckien, Nicola Ulibarri, Armen Agopian, Vasiliki I. Chalastani, Tom Hawxwell, Lam T. M. Huynh, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Rebecca Miller, Justice Issah Musah-Surugu, Gabriela Nagle Alverio, Miriam Nielsen, Abraham Marshall Nunbogu, Brian Pentz, Andrea Reimuth, Giulia Scarpa, Nadia Seeteram, Ivan Villaverde Canosa, Jingyao Zhou, The Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative Team, Matthias Garschagen
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摘要

沿海城市处于气候变化影响的最前沿,因此迫切需要大量的适应措施。为了了解城市是否以及在多大程度上为气候风险做好了准备,本文系统地评估了学术文献,以评价全球 199 个沿海城市适应气候变化的证据。结果表明,沿海城市的适应工作进展缓慢,范围狭窄,且不具有变革性。适应措施的设计主要基于过去和当前而非未来的灾害、风险和脆弱性模式。城市政府,尤其是高收入国家的城市政府,更倾向于实施制度和基础设施方面的应对措施,而中低收入国家的沿海城市通常依靠家庭实施行为适应。目前,有关中低收入国家沿海城市适应以及特定适应类型(如基于生态系统的适应)的公开知识相对较少。这些见解为跟踪全球适应进展做出了重要贡献,并有助于确定未来改善沿海城市适应的切入点。本研究对全球沿海城市适应气候变化的经验证据进行了系统回顾。研究发现,由于沿海城市的适应工作主要集中在过去和当前的挑战上,而不是未来的风险情景上,因此报告的适应工作大多进展缓慢、范围狭窄,且不具有变革性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Progress and gaps in climate change adaptation in coastal cities across the globe
Coastal cities are at the frontlines of climate change impacts, resulting in an urgent need for substantial adaptation. To understand whether, and to what extent, cities are on track to prepare for climate risks, this paper systematically assesses the academic literature to evaluate evidence on climate change adaptation in 199 coastal cities worldwide. Results show that adaptation in coastal cities is rather slow, of narrow scope and not transformative. Adaptation measures are predominantly designed based on past and current—rather than future—patterns in hazards, exposure and vulnerability. City governments, particularly in high-income countries, are more likely to implement institutional and infrastructural responses, whereas coastal cities in lower-middle-income countries often rely on households to implement behavioral adaptation. There is comparatively little published knowledge on coastal urban adaptation in low- and middle-income countries, and regarding particular adaptation types such as ecosystem-based adaptation. These insights make an important contribution for tracking adaptation progress globally and help to identify entry points for improving adaptation of coastal cities in the future. This study performs a systematic review of empirical evidence for climate change adaptation in coastal cities around the world. It found that reported adaptation is mostly slow, narrow, and not transformative as coastal cities predominantly focus their adaptation on past and current challenges, and not future scenarios of risk.
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