在国际贸易中技术出口高度集中的国家,环境创新对生态足迹的作用

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123703
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以美国、德国、法国和中国这四个主要高科技出口国为研究对象,探讨生态足迹、环境技术专利、高科技出口和经济增长之间的长期和短期关联。涵盖 1988-2019 年的样本除了单位根检验所捕捉到的积分顺序的不确定性外,还受到一系列结构性中断的影响,其中包括 2009 年全球经济衰退,这为新型傅立叶 ARDL 和傅立叶户田山本因果关系方法提供了依据。Fourier ARDL 的研究结果表明,在美国、德国和法国,环境技术创新在抑制生态足迹水平和促进更可持续的环境方面发挥着重要作用,而国际贸易中更多的高技术出口除了对包括中国在内的所有国家的经济增长产生负面影响外,还恶化了这些国家的生态足迹。相比之下,中国的高技术出口似乎减轻了生态足迹,然而,与其他被分析国家一样,生态友好型技术未能减少生态足迹。因果关系检验表明,变量之间存在双向和单向因果关系,但中国除外,中国的经济增长与生态专利之间以及高科技出口与生态专利之间存在中性假设。这些发现为实现可持续发展提供了重要启示。
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The role of environmental innovation on ecologic footprint in nations with high technology exports concentrations in international trade

This study focuses on four major high-technology exporting countries––the USA, Germany, France, and China––to explore the long and short-run associations among ecological footprint, environmental technology patents, high-technology exports, and economic growth. The sample covering 1988–2019 is subject to a set of structural breaks, including 2009 Global Recession in addition to uncertainty in the order of integration captured by unit root tests, which provide basis for novel Fourier ARDL and Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality methods. The Fourier ARDL findings reveal the importance of environmental technology innovations in dampening the level of ecological footprints and promoting a more sustainable environment in the USA, Germany, and France, whereas more high-technology exports in international trade worsen the ecological footprints in these countries in addition to the negative effects of economic growth in all countries including China. In contrast, high-technology exports appear to mitigate ecological footprint in China, however, eco-friendly technologies fail to reduce ecological footprints as in other analysed nations. The causality tests indicate bidirectional and unidirectional causal relationships among variables with the exception of China where the neutrality hypothesis holds between economic growth and ecological patents and also high-technology exports and ecological patents. These findings provide important insights in achieving sustainable development.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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