分解动力:被遗忘的部分

IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Banking & Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107292
Pascal Büsing , Hannes Mohrschladt , Susanne Siedhoff
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们将 t-12 月至 t-2 月的标准动量收益率按该形成期内的最高股价进行拆分。在第 t 个月的整体动量利润中,84% 可归因于最高价之前的回报,尽管迄今为止的研究都只关注最高价之后的回报。被遗忘部分的收益可预测性与投资者反应不足的内在机制是一致的。与标准的动量策略相反,相应的多空回报是正偏斜的,避免了动量崩溃,没有显示出市场状态依赖性,并且在美国和国际股票市场上都产生了一致的回报溢价。
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Decomposing momentum: The forgotten component

We split up the standard momentum return over months t12 to t2 at the highest stock price within this formation period. Of the overall momentum profits in month t, 84% can be attributed to the return prior to this peak price although research has exclusively focused on the post-peak return so far. The return predictability of the forgotten component is consistent with investor underreaction as underlying mechanism. Contrary to standard momentum strategies, the corresponding long-short returns are positively skewed, avoid momentum crashes, show no market state dependence, and yield consistent return premiums in both the US and international stock markets.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
5.40%
发文量
262
期刊介绍: The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.
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