能源效率在能源转型中的作用:能源使用分解分析

Pooja Sharma
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摘要

使用节能技术往往会减少一个国家的总体能源使用量,并促进能源转型途径。然而,能源的变化可能是由活动效应、强度效应或结构效应引起的。本研究的目的首先是研究和衡量能源使用量的变化幅度,并确定造成选定部门能源使用量变化的因素。其次,本文旨在分析挪威经济对能源使用三种效应的影响。这项研究对于确定因能源效率而减少能源使用的部门,以及研究经济对能源使用的影响做出了重要贡献。研究采用 "对数平均指数"(LMDI)方法,将1990年至2017年间的能源使用总量分解为选定能源密集型部门的三种不同影响。此外,还考察了挪威经济对能源使用的三种影响。结果表明,在每个阶段,三个阶段能源使用量变化的主要驱动力都是交通部门。经济衰退后,运输部门的能源使用是由于结构性影响造成的。即使在能源效率方面取得技术突破,消费者行为和资金来源的限制也是电动汽车部署所面临的挑战。最后,必须在能源密集型部门(如交通和服务部门)采取提高能效的政策,以有效实现能效驱动的能源转型。
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Role of energy efficiency in energy transition: A decomposition analysis of energy use

The use of energy-efficient technologies tends to reduce the overall energy use of a country and foster the energy transition pathways. However, a change in energy can occur either due to a change in activity effect, intensity effect, or structural effect. The objective of the study is firstly to examine and measure the magnitude of change in energy use and identify the factor responsible for the change in energy use in the selected sectors. Secondly, the paper aims to analyze the impact of the Norwegian economy on the three effects of energy use. The study contributes significantly to identifying the sector that experiences a reduction in energy use due to energy efficiency and examining the impact of the economy on energy use. The overall energy use between 1990 and 2017 is decomposed into three different effects for selected energy-intensive sectors by deploying the ‘Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index’ (LMDI) method. Further, the impact of the Norwegian economy is examined on the three effects of energy use. It is observed that in each Phase, the key driver for change in energy use in all three Phases is the transport sector. Post-recession, the energy use in the transport sector was due to structural effects. Consumer behavior and limitations of sources of finance are the challenges for the deployment of electric vehicles even after technological breakthroughs in energy efficiency. Finally, the policies to enhance energy efficiency in energy-intensive sectors, such as the transport, and services sector must be undertaken to efficiently visualize energy efficiency-driven energy transition.

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