基于机器学习优化多时间序列预测,提高云资源利用率

IF 7.2 1区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Knowledge-Based Systems Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI:10.1016/j.knosys.2024.112489
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引用次数: 0

摘要

云计算因其灵活性,已成为现代运营计划中不可或缺的一部分。然而,如何有效管理云计算资源,以确保成本效益并保持高性能,是一项重大挑战。现收现付的定价模式虽然方便,但会导致支出增加,阻碍长期规划。因此,FinOps 提倡积极主动的管理策略,而资源使用预测则成为一个重要的优化类别。在本研究中,我们介绍了多时间序列预测系统(MSFS),这是一种与混合集合异常检测算法(HEADA)相结合的数据驱动型资源优化新方法。我们的方法优先考虑以概念为中心的方法,重点关注预测的不确定性、可解释性和特定领域测量等因素。此外,我们还引入了基于相似性的时间序列分组(STG)方法,作为 MSFS 的核心组件,用于优化多时间序列预测,确保其可扩展性与云环境的快速增长相适应。实验证明,我们的分组预测模型(GSFM)方法使 MSFS 的成本大幅降低了 44%。
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Optimizing multi-time series forecasting for enhanced cloud resource utilization based on machine learning

Due to its flexibility, cloud computing has become essential in modern operational schemes. However, the effective management of cloud resources to ensure cost-effectiveness and maintain high performance presents significant challenges. The pay-as-you-go pricing model, while convenient, can lead to escalated expenses and hinder long-term planning. Consequently, FinOps advocates proactive management strategies, with resource usage prediction emerging as a crucial optimization category. In this research, we introduce the multi-time series forecasting system (MSFS), a novel approach for data-driven resource optimization alongside the hybrid ensemble anomaly detection algorithm (HEADA). Our method prioritizes the concept-centric approach, focusing on factors such as prediction uncertainty, interpretability and domain-specific measures. Furthermore, we introduce the similarity-based time-series grouping (STG) method as a core component of MSFS for optimizing multi-time series forecasting, ensuring its scalability with the rapid growth of the cloud environment. The experiments performed demonstrate that our group-specific forecasting model (GSFM) approach enabled MSFS to achieve a significant cost reduction of up to 44%.

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来源期刊
Knowledge-Based Systems
Knowledge-Based Systems 工程技术-计算机:人工智能
CiteScore
14.80
自引率
12.50%
发文量
1245
审稿时长
7.8 months
期刊介绍: Knowledge-Based Systems, an international and interdisciplinary journal in artificial intelligence, publishes original, innovative, and creative research results in the field. It focuses on knowledge-based and other artificial intelligence techniques-based systems. The journal aims to support human prediction and decision-making through data science and computation techniques, provide a balanced coverage of theory and practical study, and encourage the development and implementation of knowledge-based intelligence models, methods, systems, and software tools. Applications in business, government, education, engineering, and healthcare are emphasized.
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