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引用次数: 0
摘要
在美国和其他地方,人们对民主的态度有所下降。此外,有明显迹象表明,一些民选官员越来越愿意放弃长期以来的传统和规范。一个关键的问题是,公众是否正在影响这种精英行为,或者某些群体是否只是在容忍这种行为。换句话说,在对待民主的态度上,是否出现了党派分化的加剧?如果共和党民选官员在 2020 年大选后的行为部分受到选民要求的驱动,那么我们应该在 2021 年 1 月之前看到党派对民主态度的两极分化。在本报告中,我们利用 1996-2020 年美国全国选举研究(American National Election Studies)、综合社会调查(General Social Survey)和世界价值观调查(World Values Survey)的数据,追踪了以党派为条件的民主态度,考察了近几十年来这种态度的两极分化程度。我们没有发现任何证据表明,两党对民主的态度存在有意义的差异。随后的分析同样表明,在过去的 25 年中,胜负差距并没有随着两党的两极分化而扩大。
Have attitudes toward democracy polarized in the U.S.?
Attitudes toward and about democracy have shown a decline in the United States and elsewhere. Further, there have been clear indications that some elected officials are increasingly willing to forego longstanding traditions and norms. A key question is whether the public is influencing such elite behavior, or if certain segments are merely tolerating it. In other words, is an increase in partisan differentiation observed in attitudes toward democracy? If the behavior of Republican elected officials in the aftermath of the 2020 election was driven in part by constituent demands, we ought to see partisan polarization of attitudes about democracy prior to January 2021. In this note we trace attitudes about democracy, conditioned on partisanship, to examine the extent that such attitudes have polarized in recent decades, using data from the American National Election Studies, General Social Survey, and World Values Survey from 1996–2020. We find no evidence that attitudes toward democracy are meaningfully different across the two parties. A subsequent analysis similarly indicates that the winner–loser gap has not widened as the parties have polarized over the last 25 years.
期刊介绍:
Electoral Studies is an international journal covering all aspects of voting, the central act in the democratic process. Political scientists, economists, sociologists, game theorists, geographers, contemporary historians and lawyers have common, and overlapping, interests in what causes voters to act as they do, and the consequences. Electoral Studies provides a forum for these diverse approaches. It publishes fully refereed papers, both theoretical and empirical, on such topics as relationships between votes and seats, and between election outcomes and politicians reactions; historical, sociological, or geographical correlates of voting behaviour; rational choice analysis of political acts, and critiques of such analyses.