{"title":"风力发电预测抗攻击框架,抵御民事和对抗性攻击","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.epsr.2024.111065","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Forecasting wind power generation accurately is crucial for reliable, economical, and efficient integrations in smart grids, promoting applications of cleaner energy sources. Although effective wind power forecasting methods exist, power grids still require resilient schemes enabling accurate predictions under cyber-attacks. This paper introduces civil attack (CA) and fast gradient sign method (FGSM) attacks to wind power forecasting to analyze their impacts with countermeasures. The impacts of CA and FGSM attacks on a deep learning-based forecasting method are evaluated, finding FGSM attacks more severe. Also, an attack identification and corrupted data replacement-based pre-processing robust framework is proposed, outperforming other countermeasures. To detect and classify attacks, random forest (RF) has outperformed extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). Experimental results on two different zones during CA and FGSM attacks indicate that the decrease in accuracy can be up to 0.4103, 0.3152, and 0.1683 in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean squared error (MSE), respectively. The proposed framework successfully achieves an accuracy of 0.1204, 0.0835, and 0.0145 for the worst case in terms of RMSE, MAE, and MSE, respectively, signifying its importance for academic and industrial applications.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50547,"journal":{"name":"Electric Power Systems Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378779624009507/pdfft?md5=d840e11eb0b051f2e357b653eeb951a4&pid=1-s2.0-S0378779624009507-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Attack-resilient framework for wind power forecasting against civil and adversarial attacks\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.epsr.2024.111065\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Forecasting wind power generation accurately is crucial for reliable, economical, and efficient integrations in smart grids, promoting applications of cleaner energy sources. Although effective wind power forecasting methods exist, power grids still require resilient schemes enabling accurate predictions under cyber-attacks. This paper introduces civil attack (CA) and fast gradient sign method (FGSM) attacks to wind power forecasting to analyze their impacts with countermeasures. The impacts of CA and FGSM attacks on a deep learning-based forecasting method are evaluated, finding FGSM attacks more severe. Also, an attack identification and corrupted data replacement-based pre-processing robust framework is proposed, outperforming other countermeasures. To detect and classify attacks, random forest (RF) has outperformed extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). Experimental results on two different zones during CA and FGSM attacks indicate that the decrease in accuracy can be up to 0.4103, 0.3152, and 0.1683 in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean squared error (MSE), respectively. The proposed framework successfully achieves an accuracy of 0.1204, 0.0835, and 0.0145 for the worst case in terms of RMSE, MAE, and MSE, respectively, signifying its importance for academic and industrial applications.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50547,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Electric Power Systems Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-11\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378779624009507/pdfft?md5=d840e11eb0b051f2e357b653eeb951a4&pid=1-s2.0-S0378779624009507-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Electric Power Systems Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378779624009507\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Electric Power Systems Research","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378779624009507","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC","Score":null,"Total":0}
Attack-resilient framework for wind power forecasting against civil and adversarial attacks
Forecasting wind power generation accurately is crucial for reliable, economical, and efficient integrations in smart grids, promoting applications of cleaner energy sources. Although effective wind power forecasting methods exist, power grids still require resilient schemes enabling accurate predictions under cyber-attacks. This paper introduces civil attack (CA) and fast gradient sign method (FGSM) attacks to wind power forecasting to analyze their impacts with countermeasures. The impacts of CA and FGSM attacks on a deep learning-based forecasting method are evaluated, finding FGSM attacks more severe. Also, an attack identification and corrupted data replacement-based pre-processing robust framework is proposed, outperforming other countermeasures. To detect and classify attacks, random forest (RF) has outperformed extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), decision tree (DT), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbors (KNN). Experimental results on two different zones during CA and FGSM attacks indicate that the decrease in accuracy can be up to 0.4103, 0.3152, and 0.1683 in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean squared error (MSE), respectively. The proposed framework successfully achieves an accuracy of 0.1204, 0.0835, and 0.0145 for the worst case in terms of RMSE, MAE, and MSE, respectively, signifying its importance for academic and industrial applications.
期刊介绍:
Electric Power Systems Research is an international medium for the publication of original papers concerned with the generation, transmission, distribution and utilization of electrical energy. The journal aims at presenting important results of work in this field, whether in the form of applied research, development of new procedures or components, orginal application of existing knowledge or new designapproaches. The scope of Electric Power Systems Research is broad, encompassing all aspects of electric power systems. The following list of topics is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather to indicate topics that fall within the journal purview.
• Generation techniques ranging from advances in conventional electromechanical methods, through nuclear power generation, to renewable energy generation.
• Transmission, spanning the broad area from UHV (ac and dc) to network operation and protection, line routing and design.
• Substation work: equipment design, protection and control systems.
• Distribution techniques, equipment development, and smart grids.
• The utilization area from energy efficiency to distributed load levelling techniques.
• Systems studies including control techniques, planning, optimization methods, stability, security assessment and insulation coordination.