优化生物质供应链:尼日利亚西南部管理不确定性的概率方法

IF 5.3 Q2 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Cleaner Engineering and Technology Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI:10.1016/j.clet.2024.100785
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引用次数: 0

摘要

生物质资源的高效和可持续利用对于满足日益增长的生物基产品和可再生能源需求至关重要。生物质供应链包括收获、收集、物流、储存和预处理,由于市场波动、设备可用性、天气条件和运输限制等不确定因素,生物质供应链面临着挑战。这些不确定性往往会阻碍供应链的优化。本研究工作在考虑这些不确定性的同时,通过优化操作来探索生物质供应链的性能。尼日利亚面临着电力问题,有资源可以通过利用生物质生产更清洁的能源来解决这一问题。通过数学建模,该研究评估了不确定性对原料供应、库存管理、运输效率和加工能力等关键绩效领域的影响。研究表明,纳入不确定性感知解决方案对于最大限度地降低风险和提高生物质供应链的灵活性非常重要。灵敏度分析和案例研究表明,所提出的概率建模方法可提供对系统脆弱性的宝贵见解,以及在不确定条件下优化运营的有效策略。研究结果凸显了这种方法在改善生物质行业的决策、资源分配和促进可持续发展实践方面的潜力。最终,这项研究有助于推进生物质供应链管理,为更有弹性、更有效地利用生物资源铺平道路。
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Optimizing biomass supply chains: A probabilistic approach to managing uncertainties in southwest Nigeria

Efficient and sustainable use of biomass resources is crucial to meet the increasing demand for bio-based products and renewable energy. The biomass supply chain, which includes harvesting, collecting, logistics, storage, and pre-treatment, faces challenges due to uncertainties such as market fluctuations, equipment availability, weather conditions, and transportation constraints. These uncertainties often hinder the optimisation of the supply chain. This research work explores the performance of the biomass supply chain by optimizing operations while accounting for these uncertainties. Nigeria is faced with power issues and there are resources to combat the problem through generation of cleaner energy from biomass. Using mathematical modelling, the study evaluates the impact of uncertainty on key performance areas like feedstock supply, inventory management, transportation efficiency, and processing capacity. The research demonstrates the importance of incorporating uncertainty-aware solutions to minimize risks and improve the flexibility of the biomass supply chain. Sensitivity analyses and case studies shows that the proposed probabilistic modelling approach provides valuable insights into system vulnerabilities and effective strategies for optimizing operations under uncertain conditions. The findings highlight the potential of this approach to improve decision making, resource allocation, and promote sustainable practices in the biomass sector. Ultimately, the study contributes to advancing biomass supply chain management, paving the way for a more resilient and efficient use of bioresources.

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来源期刊
Cleaner Engineering and Technology
Cleaner Engineering and Technology Engineering-Engineering (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
218
审稿时长
21 weeks
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