引导自适应套索求解路径单位根检验

Martin C. Arnold, Thilo Reinschlüssel
{"title":"引导自适应套索求解路径单位根检验","authors":"Martin C. Arnold, Thilo Reinschlüssel","doi":"arxiv-2409.07859","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path\nunit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\\\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to\nimprove finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a\ngeneralised framework, allowing for non-stationary volatility. Numerical\nevidence shows the bootstrap to improve the tests' precision for error\nprocesses that promote spurious rejections of the unit root null, depending on\nthe detrending procedure. The bootstrap mitigates finite-sample size\ndistortions and restores asymptotically valid inference when the data features\ntime-varying unconditional variance. We apply the bootstrap tests to real\nresidential property prices of the top six Eurozone economies and find evidence\nof stationarity to be period-specific, supporting the conjecture that\nexuberance in the housing market characterises the development of Euro-era\nresidential property prices in the recent past.","PeriodicalId":501293,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Bootstrap Adaptive Lasso Solution Path Unit Root Tests\",\"authors\":\"Martin C. Arnold, Thilo Reinschlüssel\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.07859\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path\\nunit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\\\\\\\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to\\nimprove finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a\\ngeneralised framework, allowing for non-stationary volatility. Numerical\\nevidence shows the bootstrap to improve the tests' precision for error\\nprocesses that promote spurious rejections of the unit root null, depending on\\nthe detrending procedure. The bootstrap mitigates finite-sample size\\ndistortions and restores asymptotically valid inference when the data features\\ntime-varying unconditional variance. We apply the bootstrap tests to real\\nresidential property prices of the top six Eurozone economies and find evidence\\nof stationarity to be period-specific, supporting the conjecture that\\nexuberance in the housing market characterises the development of Euro-era\\nresidential property prices in the recent past.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501293,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.07859\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - ECON - Econometrics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.07859","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

我们对 Arnold 和 Reinschl\"ussel (2024) 的自适应拉索解路径单位根检验提出了筛子式自举类似方法,以改进有限样本属性,并将其适用性扩展到广义框架,允许非平稳波动。数值证据表明,自举法提高了检验的精确度,因为误差过程会导致对单位根零值的虚假拒绝,这取决于去趋势过程。当数据的无条件方差随时间变化时,自举法可减轻有限样本的偏差并恢复渐近有效的推断。我们对欧元区前六大经济体的实际住宅物业价格进行了自举检验,发现静止性的证据是特定时期的,这支持了住房市场的繁荣是近期欧元区住宅物业价格发展特点的猜想。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Bootstrap Adaptive Lasso Solution Path Unit Root Tests
We propose sieve wild bootstrap analogues to the adaptive Lasso solution path unit root tests of Arnold and Reinschl\"ussel (2024) arXiv:2404.06205 to improve finite sample properties and extend their applicability to a generalised framework, allowing for non-stationary volatility. Numerical evidence shows the bootstrap to improve the tests' precision for error processes that promote spurious rejections of the unit root null, depending on the detrending procedure. The bootstrap mitigates finite-sample size distortions and restores asymptotically valid inference when the data features time-varying unconditional variance. We apply the bootstrap tests to real residential property prices of the top six Eurozone economies and find evidence of stationarity to be period-specific, supporting the conjecture that exuberance in the housing market characterises the development of Euro-era residential property prices in the recent past.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Simple robust two-stage estimation and inference for generalized impulse responses and multi-horizon causality GPT takes the SAT: Tracing changes in Test Difficulty and Math Performance of Students A Simple and Adaptive Confidence Interval when Nuisance Parameters Satisfy an Inequality Why you should also use OLS estimation of tail exponents On LASSO Inference for High Dimensional Predictive Regression
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1