分布 回归 差异

Iván Fernández-Val, Jonas Meier, Aico van Vuuren, Francis Vella
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摘要

我们为差分(DiD)设计中的治疗效果提供了一种简单的分布回归估计方法。当治疗效果随结果变量的分布而变化时,我们的方法尤其有用。我们提出的估计方法很容易纳入协变量,而且重要的是,可以扩展到治疗可能影响多个结果联合分布的情况。我们的关键识别限制条件是,未治疗状态下治疗者的反事实分布在治疗和时间之间没有交互影响。这一假设导致了对分布变换的平行趋势假设。我们强调了我们的程序和假设与 Athey 和 Imbens(2006 年)的 "变化中的变化 "方法之间的关系。我们还重新审查了两个现有的实证例子,它们突出了我们方法的实用性。
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Distribution Regression Difference-In-Differences
We provide a simple distribution regression estimator for treatment effects in the difference-in-differences (DiD) design. Our procedure is particularly useful when the treatment effect differs across the distribution of the outcome variable. Our proposed estimator easily incorporates covariates and, importantly, can be extended to settings where the treatment potentially affects the joint distribution of multiple outcomes. Our key identifying restriction is that the counterfactual distribution of the treated in the untreated state has no interaction effect between treatment and time. This assumption results in a parallel trend assumption on a transformation of the distribution. We highlight the relationship between our procedure and assumptions with the changes-in-changes approach of Athey and Imbens (2006). We also reexamine two existing empirical examples which highlight the utility of our approach.
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