BayesSRW:减少方差的贝叶斯取样和再加权方法

Carol Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们探讨了在资源有限、无法对所有研究对象进行详尽测量的情况下进行抽样的难题。我们考虑了从多个组中抽取样本的情况,每个组都遵循一个具有未知均值和方差参数的分布。我们引入了一种新颖的抽样策略,这种策略的动机很简单,就是考希-施瓦茨不等式,它通过按组别大小和标准差成比例地分配样本,最大限度地减小了群体均值估计值的方差。此外,我们还将方法扩展到贝叶斯方法中的两阶段抽样程序,即贝叶斯 SRW,其中初步阶段用于估计方差,然后为剩余抽样预算的最优分配提供信息。通过模拟示例,我们展示了我们的方法在减少估计不确定性和提供更可靠洞察力方面的有效性,应用范围从用户体验调查到高维肽阵列研究。
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BayesSRW: Bayesian Sampling and Re-weighting approach for variance reduction
In this paper, we address the challenge of sampling in scenarios where limited resources prevent exhaustive measurement across all subjects. We consider a setting where samples are drawn from multiple groups, each following a distribution with unknown mean and variance parameters. We introduce a novel sampling strategy, motivated simply by Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, which minimizes the variance of the population mean estimator by allocating samples proportionally to both the group size and the standard deviation. This approach improves the efficiency of sampling by focusing resources on groups with greater variability, thereby enhancing the precision of the overall estimate. Additionally, we extend our method to a two-stage sampling procedure in a Bayes approach, named BayesSRW, where a preliminary stage is used to estimate the variance, which then informs the optimal allocation of the remaining sampling budget. Through simulation examples, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in reducing estimation uncertainty and providing more reliable insights in applications ranging from user experience surveys to high-dimensional peptide array studies.
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