具有强化学习功能的双人最佳执行博弈中的纳什均衡偏离和默契串通的出现

Fabrizio Lillo, Andrea Macrì
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引用次数: 0

摘要

强化学习算法在金融交易中的应用越来越普遍。然而,这些算法的自主性可能会导致意想不到的结果,偏离传统博弈论的预测,甚至可能破坏市场稳定。在本研究中,我们利用 Almgren-Chriss(2000 年)框架,研究了两个自主代理在双深度 Q 学习模型下学习如何在市场影响下以最优方式清算同一资产的情景。我们的结果表明,代理学习的策略严重偏离了相应市场影响博弈的纳什均衡。值得注意的是,学习到的策略表现出默契,与帕累托最优解非常接近。我们还进一步探讨了不同水平的市场波动如何影响代理的表现及其发现的均衡,包括在训练和测试阶段波动不同的情况。
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Deviations from the Nash equilibrium and emergence of tacit collusion in a two-player optimal execution game with reinforcement learning
The use of reinforcement learning algorithms in financial trading is becoming increasingly prevalent. However, the autonomous nature of these algorithms can lead to unexpected outcomes that deviate from traditional game-theoretical predictions and may even destabilize markets. In this study, we examine a scenario in which two autonomous agents, modeled with Double Deep Q-Learning, learn to liquidate the same asset optimally in the presence of market impact, using the Almgren-Chriss (2000) framework. Our results show that the strategies learned by the agents deviate significantly from the Nash equilibrium of the corresponding market impact game. Notably, the learned strategies exhibit tacit collusion, closely aligning with the Pareto-optimal solution. We further explore how different levels of market volatility influence the agents' performance and the equilibria they discover, including scenarios where volatility differs between the training and testing phases.
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