修改还是不修改?这是一个问题

IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Annals of Operations Research Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI:10.1007/s10479-024-06214-y
Haim Levy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

买入并持有和定期修正是两种相互竞争的投资策略。按照一期最优投资权重进行修正,看似主导了买入并持有策略,因为资产价格变化决定了投资权重的随机性和不可控性。这种直觉有误导性,因为理论上这两种投资策略都包含在风险规避有效集合中。只考虑与经济相关的偏好,在股票-债券投资组合中,只要投资期限短于 20 年,这两种策略在经验上都包含在风险规避有效集合中。然而,当投资期限超过 20 年时,根据经验,买入并持有策略在所有经济相关的效用函数中,通过几乎一级随机支配(Almost First-degree Stochastic Dominance)规则支配修正策略。当时间跨度无限长时,只持有股票会主导 B&H(S) 和 RV(S) 的股票-债券组合。然而,对于大多数投资期限短于 20 年的投资者来说,这一理论结果可能与实际情况无关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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To revise or not to revise? This is the question

Buy and hold and periodical revisions are two competing investment strategies. Revising to the optimal one-period investment weights seemingly dominates the buy-and-hold strategy with random and uncontrolled investment weights determined by asset price changes. This intuition is misleading as both investment strategies are theoretically included in the risk aversion efficient set. Considering only economically relevant preferences, with stocks-bonds portfolios, both strategies are empirically included in the risk aversion efficient set as long as the investment horizon is shorter than 20 years. However, for an investment horizon longer than twenty years, the buy and hold strategy empirically dominates the revision strategy by Almost First-degree Stochastic Dominance (\(AFSD\)) rule, namely by all economically relevant utility functions. When the horizon is indefinitely long, holding only stocks dominates the stock–bond portfolios of both the B&H(S) and the RV(S). However, this theoretical result may be practically irrelevant for most investors with a horizon shorter than 20 years.

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来源期刊
Annals of Operations Research
Annals of Operations Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
596
审稿时长
8.4 months
期刊介绍: The Annals of Operations Research publishes peer-reviewed original articles dealing with key aspects of operations research, including theory, practice, and computation. The journal publishes full-length research articles, short notes, expositions and surveys, reports on computational studies, and case studies that present new and innovative practical applications. In addition to regular issues, the journal publishes periodic special volumes that focus on defined fields of operations research, ranging from the highly theoretical to the algorithmic and the applied. These volumes have one or more Guest Editors who are responsible for collecting the papers and overseeing the refereeing process.
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