{"title":"微波高层探测数据在 CMA-GFS 中的优化同化","authors":"Changjiao Dong, Hao Hu, Fuzhong Weng","doi":"10.1007/s00376-024-3323-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Various approaches have been proposed to minimize the upper-level systematic biases in global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models by using satellite upper-air sounding channels as anchors. However, since the China Meteorological Administration Global Forecast System (CMA-GFS) has a model top near 0.1 hPa (60 km), the upper-level temperature bias may exceed 4 K near 1 hPa and further extend to 5 hPa. In this study, channels 12–14 of the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit A (AMSU-A) onboard five satellites of NOAA and METOP, whose weighting function peaks range from 10 to 2 hPa are all used as anchor observations in CMA-GFS. It is shown that the new “Anchor” approach can effectively reduce the biases near the model top and their downward propagation in three-month assimilation cycles. The bias growth rate of simulated upper-level channel observations is reduced to ±0.001 K d<sup>−1</sup>, compared to −0.03 K d<sup>−1</sup> derived from the current dynamic correction scheme. The relatively stable bias significantly improves the upper-level analysis field and leads to better global medium-range forecasts up to 10 days with significant reductions in the temperature and geopotential forecast error above 10 hPa.</p>","PeriodicalId":7249,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Atmospheric Sciences","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Optimal Assimilation of Microwave Upper-Level Sounding Data in CMA-GFS\",\"authors\":\"Changjiao Dong, Hao Hu, Fuzhong Weng\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00376-024-3323-7\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Various approaches have been proposed to minimize the upper-level systematic biases in global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models by using satellite upper-air sounding channels as anchors. However, since the China Meteorological Administration Global Forecast System (CMA-GFS) has a model top near 0.1 hPa (60 km), the upper-level temperature bias may exceed 4 K near 1 hPa and further extend to 5 hPa. In this study, channels 12–14 of the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit A (AMSU-A) onboard five satellites of NOAA and METOP, whose weighting function peaks range from 10 to 2 hPa are all used as anchor observations in CMA-GFS. It is shown that the new “Anchor” approach can effectively reduce the biases near the model top and their downward propagation in three-month assimilation cycles. The bias growth rate of simulated upper-level channel observations is reduced to ±0.001 K d<sup>−1</sup>, compared to −0.03 K d<sup>−1</sup> derived from the current dynamic correction scheme. The relatively stable bias significantly improves the upper-level analysis field and leads to better global medium-range forecasts up to 10 days with significant reductions in the temperature and geopotential forecast error above 10 hPa.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":7249,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Advances in Atmospheric Sciences\",\"volume\":\"27 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Advances in Atmospheric Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3323-7\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Atmospheric Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-024-3323-7","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Optimal Assimilation of Microwave Upper-Level Sounding Data in CMA-GFS
Various approaches have been proposed to minimize the upper-level systematic biases in global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models by using satellite upper-air sounding channels as anchors. However, since the China Meteorological Administration Global Forecast System (CMA-GFS) has a model top near 0.1 hPa (60 km), the upper-level temperature bias may exceed 4 K near 1 hPa and further extend to 5 hPa. In this study, channels 12–14 of the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit A (AMSU-A) onboard five satellites of NOAA and METOP, whose weighting function peaks range from 10 to 2 hPa are all used as anchor observations in CMA-GFS. It is shown that the new “Anchor” approach can effectively reduce the biases near the model top and their downward propagation in three-month assimilation cycles. The bias growth rate of simulated upper-level channel observations is reduced to ±0.001 K d−1, compared to −0.03 K d−1 derived from the current dynamic correction scheme. The relatively stable bias significantly improves the upper-level analysis field and leads to better global medium-range forecasts up to 10 days with significant reductions in the temperature and geopotential forecast error above 10 hPa.
期刊介绍:
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, launched in 1984, aims to rapidly publish original scientific papers on the dynamics, physics and chemistry of the atmosphere and ocean. It covers the latest achievements and developments in the atmospheric sciences, including marine meteorology and meteorology-associated geophysics, as well as the theoretical and practical aspects of these disciplines.
Papers on weather systems, numerical weather prediction, climate dynamics and variability, satellite meteorology, remote sensing, air chemistry and the boundary layer, clouds and weather modification, can be found in the journal. Papers describing the application of new mathematics or new instruments are also collected here.