全球碳减排的数字输入要求

IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI:10.1088/1748-9326/ad7616
Meihui Jiang and Wenlin Cai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了回答数字投入的增长是否有利于碳中和的问题,我们在本文中深入探讨了数字投入对碳减排的影响。我们提出了面板回归模型和多目标优化模型相结合的框架,以识别关键数字部门并获得其最优总产出。首先,研究结果表明,从 2000 年到 2021 年,大多数国家(地区)的数字化投入持续增加,尤其是美国、欧盟国家和中国。中国的数字设备投入最为显著,而美国和欧盟国家的数字服务投入则相对重要。其次,回归结果显示,数字服务投入对碳排放有显著的负向影响,即数字服务投入的增长将减少碳排放。这一结果表明,工业数字化减少碳排放的关键点可能是增加数字服务投入。第三,优化结果表明,以数字投入为导向的优化模型鼓励增加数字服务投入,可以实现更大的经济增长和碳减排目标。全球电信服务和计算机服务的总产出应分别增长 10.24% 和 8.89%。
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Digital input requirements for global carbon emission reduction
To answer the question of whether the growth of digital inputs can be beneficial for carbon neutrality, we thoroughly explore the impacts of digital inputs on carbon emission reduction in this work. We propose a combined framework of panel regression model and multi-objective optimization model to identify the key digital sectors and obtain their optimal total outputs. First, the results show that digital inputs continue to increase in most countries (regions) from 2000 to 2021, especially in the USA, EU countries and China. Digital equipment inputs in China are the most significant, while digital service inputs in the USA and EU countries are relatively important. Second, the regression results show that digital service inputs have significantly negative influence on carbon emissions, which means that the growth of digital service inputs will decrease carbon emissions. This result indicates that the key point of industrial digitalization for carbon emission reduction may be increasing the digital service inputs. Third, the optimization results show that the digital-input-oriented optimization model, which encourages an increase in digital service inputs, could achieve greater targets of economic growth and carbon emission reduction. The total outputs of Telecommunication Services and Computer Services should increase globally by 10.24% and 8.89%, respectively.
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来源期刊
Environmental Research Letters
Environmental Research Letters 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
4.50%
发文量
763
审稿时长
4.3 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Research Letters (ERL) is a high-impact, open-access journal intended to be the meeting place of the research and policy communities concerned with environmental change and management. The journal''s coverage reflects the increasingly interdisciplinary nature of environmental science, recognizing the wide-ranging contributions to the development of methods, tools and evaluation strategies relevant to the field. Submissions from across all components of the Earth system, i.e. land, atmosphere, cryosphere, biosphere and hydrosphere, and exchanges between these components are welcome.
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