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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文提供了 18 个国家购买力平价(PPP)的新经验证据。我们利用各种过渡函数对实际有效汇率的非平稳性和非线性进行了全面检验,这些函数允许根据偏离均衡的大小和符号对实际有效汇率进行非对称调整。实证结果表明,实际经济汇率具有非线性。REER 的静态性在很大程度上取决于非均衡的大小,这在理论上可归因于交易成本。与指数平滑过渡函数相关的自回归模型在表征 REER 的规模非线性时,在其他过渡函数中占主导地位。此外,如果假定阈值自回归模型的 Heaviside 指标变量是滞后的实际有效汇率,那么价格粘性在理论上提出的非对称调整对于验证购买力平价假说是不可或缺的。
Testing PPP hypothesis under considerations of nonlinear and asymmetric adjustments: new international evidence
This paper provides new empirical evidence of purchasing power parity (PPP) in 18 countries. We thoroughly test for the non-stationarity and nonlinearity jointly of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) using a variety of transition functions, which allow for asymmetric adjustment of the REERs depending upon the size and sign of deviation from the equilibrium. The empirical results reveal that the REERs possess nonlinearity. The stationarity of the REERs is strongly dependent upon the size of disequilibrium, which is theoretically attributed to the transaction costs. The autoregressive model associated with the exponential smooth transition function dominates the other transition functions in characterizing the size nonlinearity of the REERs. In addition, if the Heaviside indicator variable of the threshold autoregressive model is assumed to be the lagged real effective exchange rate, then the asymmetric adjustment, theoretically suggested by the price stickiness, is indispensable to validating the PPP hypothesis.
期刊介绍:
Empirica is a peer-reviewed journal, which publishes original research of general interest to an international audience. Authors are invited to submit empirical papers in all areas of economics with a particular focus on European economies. Per January 2021, the editors also solicit descriptive papers on current or unexplored topics.
Founded in 1974, Empirica is the official journal of the Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft (Austrian Economic Association) and is published in cooperation with Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO). The journal aims at a wide international audience and invites submissions from economists around the world.
Officially cited as: Empirica