基于情景的随机模型和风险预算问题的高效交叉熵算法

IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Annals of Operations Research Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI:10.1007/s10479-024-06227-7
M. Bayat, F. Hooshmand, S. A. MirHassani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风险预算是最近成功解决投资组合选择问题的方法之一。考虑到均值-标准差是一种风险度量,本文假定可能存在一组有限的情景,探讨了协方差矩阵和均值向量不确定情况下的风险预算问题。该问题被表述为一个基于情景的随机编程模型,并考察了其在现实世界实例中的稳定性。然后,由于投资于市场上所有可用资产实际上是不可能的,因此通过加入 "万有引力 "约束对随机模型进行了扩展,从而使所有选定的资产具有相同的风险贡献,同时最大化预期投资组合收益。扩展后的问题被表述为一个双级编程模型,并采用基于交叉熵的高效混合算法来求解。为了校准算法参数,引入了一种有效的机制。在现实世界数据集上进行的数值实验证实了所提模型和算法的高效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Scenario-based stochastic model and efficient cross-entropy algorithm for the risk-budgeting problem

Risk budgeting is one of the most recent and successful approaches for the portfolio selection problem. Considering mean-standard-deviation as a risk measure, this paper addresses the risk budgeting problem under the uncertainty of the covariance matrix and the mean vector, assuming that a finite set of scenarios is possible. The problem is formulated as a scenario-based stochastic programming model, and its stability is examined over real-world instances. Then, since investing in all available assets in the market is practically impossible, the stochastic model is extended by incorporating the cardinality constraint so that all selected assets have the same risk contribution while maximizing the expected portfolio return. The extended problem is formulated as a bi-level programming model, and an efficient hybrid algorithm based on the cross-entropy is adopted to solve it. To calibrate the algorithm’s parameters, an effective mechanism is introduced. Numerical experiments on real-world datasets confirm the efficiency of the proposed models and algorithm.

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来源期刊
Annals of Operations Research
Annals of Operations Research 管理科学-运筹学与管理科学
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
596
审稿时长
8.4 months
期刊介绍: The Annals of Operations Research publishes peer-reviewed original articles dealing with key aspects of operations research, including theory, practice, and computation. The journal publishes full-length research articles, short notes, expositions and surveys, reports on computational studies, and case studies that present new and innovative practical applications. In addition to regular issues, the journal publishes periodic special volumes that focus on defined fields of operations research, ranging from the highly theoretical to the algorithmic and the applied. These volumes have one or more Guest Editors who are responsible for collecting the papers and overseeing the refereeing process.
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