坦桑尼亚基洛萨地区对洪水预警的响应情况

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104838
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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水是一种具有挑战性的现象,危及人类的生命和财产。已经采取了一些措施来减轻洪水的影响,包括使用洪水预警系统(EWS)向人们发出警告。尽管使用了预警系统发出的警报,但有关警报对减轻洪水影响的作用的信息却很有限。本研究调查了基洛萨地区洪水频发地区的社区采取洪水预警应对措施的情况。数据是通过调查从 375 个家庭户主处收集的,并通过焦点小组讨论的 17 位参与者、关键信息提供者访谈的 22 位官员和文献调查进行了三角测量。对数据进行了描述性分析,并进行了卡方检验和二元逻辑回归分析。结果显示,76.53% 的受访者通过亲戚(54.21%)、电话(45.45%)和收音机(31.65%)之间的口口相传收到洪水预警。收到预警后,45.43 % 的受访者会通知家人该怎么做,43.82 % 的受访者会撤离洪水易发区,6.99 % 的受访者会制定洪水应急预案。这些洪水预警应对措施与家庭距离洪水发生河流的远近(p <.0001)、收到洪水预警的几率(p <.0001)、过去的洪水经历(p <.0001)和房屋性质(p <.0007)有明显的关系。总之,个人可以通过将洪水引离人口稠密地区和减少人类面临的洪水风险来主动防范洪水。为积极防范洪灾,社区应实施多重预警系统,建立可靠的警报发布机制,并在所有易发洪灾的河流安装水位计。
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The status of response to the flood early warnings in Kilosa District, Tanzania

Floods have been a challenging phenomenon, jeopardizing human life and property. Measures have been taken to alleviate flood effects, including using flood early warning systems (EWS), which give warnings to people. Despite the use of warnings from EWS, there is limited information on warnings contribution to mitigate flood effects. This study investigates the status of flood early warning response measures by communities in areas where floods frequently occur in Kilosa District. The data were collected from 375 household heads through surveys and triangulated by 17 participants via focus group discussions, 22 officials through key informant interviews, and a literature survey. The data were descriptively analysed, and chi-square tests and binary logistic regression analyses were done. Results indicate that 76.53 % of the respondents receive flood early warnings from word of mouth among relatives (54.21 %), phones (45.45 %), and radios (31.65 %). Upon receiving the early warnings, 45.43 % inform family members about what to do, 43.82 % vacate flood-prone areas, and 6.99 % make flood emergency response plans. Those flood warning response measures are significantly an outcome of the households’ distance from the rivers causing floods (p < .0001), chances of receiving flood warnings (p < .0001), past flood experience (p < .0001), and the nature of the houses (p < .0007). In conclusion, individuals can proactively protect against floods by diverting floodwaters away from populated areas and reducing human exposure to flood risks. To actively protect against floods, communities should implement multiple warning systems, establish reliable mechanisms to disseminate alerts and install water level gauges in all flood-prone rivers.

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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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