澳大利亚电力部门适应气候变化的情况和复原力思维的诱惑

IF 6.9 2区 经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Energy Research & Social Science Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI:10.1016/j.erss.2024.103755
Sophie Adams , Abhijith Prakash
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引用次数: 0

摘要

管理气候变化对电力行业的影响是一项日益严峻的挑战,但为规划适应而建立未来影响模型的努力在提供足够可用的信息方面一直受到限制。通过对澳大利亚电力部门利益相关者就气候科学在适应中的应用所进行的访谈发现,除了 "自上而下 "地应用气候科学和传统的风险管理方式外,该部门还认识到需要其他的方法。一种更 "自下而上"、更 "全面"、更注重系统复原力的方法有望支持对有形基础设施和依赖电力供应的社区所受影响进行务实的适应性管理。复原力的概念为电力部门的适应提供了一个引人注目的愿景,但我们的分析表明,其概念包袱和多重含义--在某种程度上是相互冲突的--可能会阻碍面对气候变化影响所需的实质性果断行动。我们建议,如果继续使用该术语,澳大利亚和其他国家电力部门的利益相关者必须努力进一步明确抗灾能力在此背景下的含义,包括更加具体地说明为管理气候变化影响和提高抗灾能力必须做什么以及由谁来做。
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Climate change adaptation in the Australian electricity sector and the lure of resilience thinking

The management of the impacts of climate change on the electricity sector poses a growing challenge, but efforts to model future impacts to plan adaptation have been limited in their delivery of sufficiently usable information. Interviews with stakeholders in the Australian electricity sector about the use of climate science for adaptation reveal that there is recognition of the need for alternatives to the ‘top-down’ application of climate science and conventional modes of risk management in the sector. A more ‘bottom-up’, ‘holistic’ approach that focuses on the resilience of the system is expected to support pragmatic adaptive management of impacts on physical infrastructure and on the communities that depend on power supply. The idea of resilience offers a compelling vision of adaptation for the electricity sector, but our analysis shows that its conceptual baggage and the multiple – and to some extent conflicting – meanings that it connotes may impede the substantive and decisive action that is needed in the face of climate change impacts. We suggest that, if the term continues to be used, stakeholders in the electricity sector in Australia and elsewhere must work to achieve greater clarity about what resilience means in this context, including more specificity about what must be done, and by whom, to manage climate change impacts and enhance resilience.

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来源期刊
Energy Research & Social Science
Energy Research & Social Science ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
14.00
自引率
16.40%
发文量
441
审稿时长
55 days
期刊介绍: Energy Research & Social Science (ERSS) is a peer-reviewed international journal that publishes original research and review articles examining the relationship between energy systems and society. ERSS covers a range of topics revolving around the intersection of energy technologies, fuels, and resources on one side and social processes and influences - including communities of energy users, people affected by energy production, social institutions, customs, traditions, behaviors, and policies - on the other. Put another way, ERSS investigates the social system surrounding energy technology and hardware. ERSS is relevant for energy practitioners, researchers interested in the social aspects of energy production or use, and policymakers. Energy Research & Social Science (ERSS) provides an interdisciplinary forum to discuss how social and technical issues related to energy production and consumption interact. Energy production, distribution, and consumption all have both technical and human components, and the latter involves the human causes and consequences of energy-related activities and processes as well as social structures that shape how people interact with energy systems. Energy analysis, therefore, needs to look beyond the dimensions of technology and economics to include these social and human elements.
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